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Auxerre vs Marseille prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Marseille favourites to beat Auxerre away from home in Ligue 1 on Sunday 29 November 2026 at 14:00 UTC. It gives Auxerre a 29% chance of winning, puts the draw at 24% and gives Marseille 46%.
GossipBall expects 1.3 goals from Auxerre and 1.7 from Marseille, so goals look likely: there is a 60% chance of three or more goals and a 61% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Auxerre keep a clean sheet in 17% of outcomes, Marseille in 26%.
Auxerre are 14th in the table with 10 points from 10 games; Marseille are 4th with 18. In their last five league games Auxerre took 4 points (LWDLL) and Marseille took 15 (WWWWW). This season Auxerre average 1.36 expected goals (xG) for and 1.93 against per game; Marseille average 1.69 for and 2.23 against.
In 6 league meetings since 2022, Auxerre won 2, Marseille won 4 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 13 Mar 2026, finished Marseille 1–0 Auxerre, a win for Marseille.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.1 goals in total: 1.34 for Auxerre and 1.75 for Marseille.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 6 league meetings since 2022, Auxerre won 2, Marseille won 4 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 13 Mar 2026, finished Marseille 1–0 Auxerre, a win for Marseille.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Auxerre vs Marseille?
GossipBall gives Auxerre a 29% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Marseille 46%. GossipBall makes Marseille favourites to beat Auxerre away from home.
What is the predicted score for Auxerre vs Marseille?
GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.3 for Auxerre, 1.7 for Marseille). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (7%).
Will both teams score in Auxerre vs Marseille?
GossipBall gives a 61% chance that both Auxerre and Marseille score.
Will there be three or more goals in Auxerre vs Marseille?
There is a 60% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.1 goals in total (1.3 for Auxerre, 1.7 for Marseille).
When is Auxerre vs Marseille?
Kick-off is Sunday 29 November 2026 at 14:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Auxerre and Marseille?
In 6 league meetings since 2022, Auxerre won 2, Marseille won 4 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 13 Mar 2026, finished Marseille 1–0 Auxerre, a win for Marseille.