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Auxerre vs Toulouse prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Toulouse slight favourites to beat Auxerre away from home in Ligue 1 on Friday 11 December 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It gives Auxerre a 34% chance of winning, puts the draw at 28% and gives Toulouse 38%.
GossipBall expects 1.2 goals from Auxerre and 1.3 from Toulouse, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 46% chance of three or more goals and a 52% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Auxerre keep a clean sheet in 27% of outcomes, Toulouse in 30%.
Auxerre are 14th in the table with 10 points from 10 games; Toulouse are 12th with 13. In their last five league games Auxerre took 4 points (LWDLL) and Toulouse took 8 (DWDLW). This season Auxerre average 1.36 expected goals (xG) for and 1.93 against per game; Toulouse average 1.80 for and 1.23 against.
In 6 league meetings since 2023, Auxerre won 1, Toulouse won 2 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 1 Feb 2026, was a 0–0 draw.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.5 goals in total: 1.22 for Auxerre and 1.31 for Toulouse.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 6 league meetings since 2023, Auxerre won 1, Toulouse won 2 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 1 Feb 2026, was a 0–0 draw.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Auxerre vs Toulouse?
GossipBall gives Auxerre a 34% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Toulouse 38%. GossipBall makes Toulouse slight favourites to beat Auxerre away from home.
What is the predicted score for Auxerre vs Toulouse?
GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.2 for Auxerre, 1.3 for Toulouse). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%).
Will both teams score in Auxerre vs Toulouse?
GossipBall gives a 52% chance that both Auxerre and Toulouse score.
Will there be three or more goals in Auxerre vs Toulouse?
There is a 46% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.5 goals in total (1.2 for Auxerre, 1.3 for Toulouse).
When is Auxerre vs Toulouse?
Kick-off is Friday 11 December 2026 at 19:45 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Auxerre and Toulouse?
In 6 league meetings since 2023, Auxerre won 1, Toulouse won 2 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 1 Feb 2026, was a 0–0 draw.