Le Havre vs Le Mans prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Le Havre slight favourites to beat Le Mans at home in Ligue 1 on Saturday 12 December 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It gives Le Havre a 42% chance of winning, puts the draw at 26% and gives Le Mans 32%.
GossipBall expects 1.5 goals from Le Havre and 1.3 from Le Mans, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 55% chance of three or more goals and a 58% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Le Havre keep a clean sheet in 26% of outcomes, Le Mans in 22%.
Le Havre are 18th in the table with 2 points from 10 games; Le Mans are 15th with 8. In their last five league games Le Havre took 0 points (LLLLL) and Le Mans took 2 (LLDLD). This season Le Havre average 1.57 expected goals (xG) for and 1.90 against per game; Le Mans average 1.38 for and 1.95 against.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total: 1.54 for Le Havre and 1.33 for Le Mans.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Le Havre vs Le Mans?
GossipBall gives Le Havre a 42% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Le Mans 32%. GossipBall makes Le Havre slight favourites to beat Le Mans at home.
What is the predicted score for Le Havre vs Le Mans?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.5 for Le Havre, 1.3 for Le Mans). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (8%).
Will both teams score in Le Havre vs Le Mans?
GossipBall gives a 58% chance that both Le Havre and Le Mans score.
Will there be three or more goals in Le Havre vs Le Mans?
There is a 55% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total (1.5 for Le Havre, 1.3 for Le Mans).
When is Le Havre vs Le Mans?
Kick-off is Saturday 12 December 2026 at 19:45 UTC.