Ligue 1Matchday 12Saturday 28 November 2026 ·

Le Havre vs Strasbourg prediction

29%
home win
predicted score
1–2
9.2% chance
26%
draw
45%
away win
Win probability: home 29%, draw 26%, away 45%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Strasbourg slight favourites to beat Le Havre away from home in Ligue 1 on Saturday 28 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It gives Le Havre a 29% chance of winning, puts the draw at 26% and gives Strasbourg 45%.

GossipBall expects 1.3 goals from Le Havre and 1.6 from Strasbourg, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 55% chance of three or more goals and a 58% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Le Havre keep a clean sheet in 20% of outcomes, Strasbourg in 28%.

Le Havre are 18th in the table with 2 points from 10 games; Strasbourg are 13th with 10. In their last five league games Le Havre took 0 points (LLLLL) and Strasbourg took 3 (LLLWL). This season Le Havre average 1.57 expected goals (xG) for and 1.90 against per game; Strasbourg average 1.26 for and 1.73 against.

In 6 league meetings since 2023, Le Havre won 3, Strasbourg won 3 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 8 Feb 2026, finished Le Havre 2–1 Strasbourg, a win for Le Havre.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
6
9
7
4
2
<1
1
7
12
9
5
2
<1
2
5
7
6
3
1
<1
3
2
3
2
1
<1
<1
4
<1
<1
<1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Le Havre goalsColumns: Strasbourg goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–112.0%
1–29.2%
0–18.6%
0–27.3%
2–17.3%
1–06.6%
1 or more goals
94%
2 or more goals
79%
3 or more goals
55%
4 or more goals
32%
5 or more goals
16%
Both teams score
58%

GossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total: 1.26 for Le Havre and 1.61 for Strasbourg.

Winning margin

Explained
Le Havre by 3
3%
Le Havre by 2
8%
Le Havre by 1
17%
Draw
26%
Strasbourg by 3
6%
Strasbourg by 2
14%
Strasbourg by 1
22%

Each team's goals

Explained
Le Havre expected goals1.26
Strasbourg expected goals1.61
Le Havre keep a clean sheet20%
Strasbourg keep a clean sheet28%
Le Havre win without conceding14%
Strasbourg win without conceding22%
Le Havre score 2 or more36%
Strasbourg score 2 or more48%

Recent form

Le Havre
L v Lorient0–2 · 8 Nov
L v Paris Saint-Germain1–5 · 30 Oct
L @ Marseille3–4 · 25 Oct
L v Auxerre1–3 · 18 Oct
L @ Lille0–1 · 10 Oct
Strasbourg
L @ Toulouse1–3 · 6 Nov
W v Auxerre5–1 · 1 Nov
L @ Rennes0–3 · 25 Oct
L v Paris Saint-Germain1–3 · 17 Oct
L @ Nice1–2 · 11 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 6 league meetings since 2023, Le Havre won 3, Strasbourg won 3 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 8 Feb 2026, finished Le Havre 2–1 Strasbourg, a win for Le Havre.

Le Havre 2–1 Strasbourg8 Feb 2026
Strasbourg 1–0 Le Havre14 Sep 2025
Strasbourg 2–3 Le Havre17 May 2025
Le Havre 0–3 Strasbourg15 Dec 2024
Le Havre 3–1 Strasbourg4 May 2024
Strasbourg 2–1 Le Havre10 Dec 2023

Season averages per game

HACRC
0.90
Goals
1.80
2.20
Conceded
2.20
1.57
xG
1.26
1.90
xG against
1.73
16.7
Shots
12.6
5.0
On target
4.9
5.3
Corners
2.5
1.50
Yellow cards
1.70
10%
Clean sheets
0%
60%
Both score
80%
50%
3+ goals
90%

Questions and answers

Who will win Le Havre vs Strasbourg?

GossipBall gives Le Havre a 29% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Strasbourg 45%. GossipBall makes Strasbourg slight favourites to beat Le Havre away from home.

What is the predicted score for Le Havre vs Strasbourg?

GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.3 for Le Havre, 1.6 for Strasbourg). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (9%).

Will both teams score in Le Havre vs Strasbourg?

GossipBall gives a 58% chance that both Le Havre and Strasbourg score.

Will there be three or more goals in Le Havre vs Strasbourg?

There is a 55% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total (1.3 for Le Havre, 1.6 for Strasbourg).

When is Le Havre vs Strasbourg?

Kick-off is Saturday 28 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Le Havre and Strasbourg?

In 6 league meetings since 2023, Le Havre won 3, Strasbourg won 3 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 8 Feb 2026, finished Le Havre 2–1 Strasbourg, a win for Le Havre.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC