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Le Mans vs Lille prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Lille favourites to beat Le Mans away from home in Ligue 1 on Saturday 28 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It gives Le Mans a 25% chance of winning, puts the draw at 26% and gives Lille 49%.
GossipBall expects 1.1 goals from Le Mans and 1.6 from Lille, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 51% chance of three or more goals and a 54% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Le Mans keep a clean sheet in 20% of outcomes, Lille in 34%.
Le Mans are 15th in the table with 8 points from 10 games; Lille are 2nd with 21. In their last five league games Le Mans took 2 points (LLDLD) and Lille took 11 (WDDWW). This season Le Mans average 1.38 expected goals (xG) for and 1.95 against per game; Lille average 1.31 for and 1.50 against.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total: 1.08 for Le Mans and 1.63 for Lille.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Le Mans vs Lille?
GossipBall gives Le Mans a 25% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Lille 49%. GossipBall makes Lille favourites to beat Le Mans away from home.
What is the predicted score for Le Mans vs Lille?
GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.1 for Le Mans, 1.6 for Lille). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (10%), 1–2 (10%).
Will both teams score in Le Mans vs Lille?
GossipBall gives a 54% chance that both Le Mans and Lille score.
Will there be three or more goals in Le Mans vs Lille?
There is a 51% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total (1.1 for Le Mans, 1.6 for Lille).
When is Le Mans vs Lille?
Kick-off is Saturday 28 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC.