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Lens vs Le Havre prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Lens clear favourites to beat Le Havre at home in Ligue 1 on Saturday 5 December 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It gives Lens a 65% chance of winning, puts the draw at 21% and gives Le Havre 14%.
GossipBall expects 2.1 goals from Lens and 0.8 from Le Havre, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 55% chance of three or more goals and a 49% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Lens keep a clean sheet in 44% of outcomes, Le Havre in 13%.
Lens are 11th in the table with 13 points from 10 games; Le Havre are 18th with 2. In their last five league games Lens took 9 points (WWWLL) and Le Havre took 0 (LLLLL). This season Lens average 1.73 expected goals (xG) for and 1.56 against per game; Le Havre average 1.57 for and 1.90 against.
In 6 league meetings since 2023, Lens won 3, Le Havre won 1 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 30 Jan 2026, finished Lens 1–0 Le Havre, a win for Lens.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 2–0 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total: 2.05 for Lens and 0.82 for Le Havre.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 6 league meetings since 2023, Lens won 3, Le Havre won 1 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 30 Jan 2026, finished Lens 1–0 Le Havre, a win for Lens.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Lens vs Le Havre?
GossipBall gives Lens a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Le Havre 14%. GossipBall makes Lens clear favourites to beat Le Havre at home.
What is the predicted score for Lens vs Le Havre?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.1 for Lens, 0.8 for Le Havre). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 2–0 (12%), 1–0 (11%), 1–1 (10%).
Will both teams score in Lens vs Le Havre?
GossipBall gives a 49% chance that both Lens and Le Havre score.
Will there be three or more goals in Lens vs Le Havre?
There is a 55% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total (2.1 for Lens, 0.8 for Le Havre).
When is Lens vs Le Havre?
Kick-off is Saturday 5 December 2026 at 19:45 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Lens and Le Havre?
In 6 league meetings since 2023, Lens won 3, Le Havre won 1 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 30 Jan 2026, finished Lens 1–0 Le Havre, a win for Lens.