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Lille vs Auxerre prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Lille favourites to beat Auxerre at home in Ligue 1 on Saturday 5 December 2026 at 16:15 UTC. It gives Lille a 58% chance of winning, puts the draw at 25% and gives Auxerre 17%.
GossipBall expects 1.7 goals from Lille and 0.8 from Auxerre, so a tight, low-scoring game is slightly more likely: there is a 45% chance of three or more goals and a 45% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–0. Lille keep a clean sheet in 45% of outcomes, Auxerre in 19%.
Lille are 2nd in the table with 21 points from 10 games; Auxerre are 14th with 10. In their last five league games Lille took 11 points (WDDWW) and Auxerre took 4 (LWDLL). This season Lille average 1.31 expected goals (xG) for and 1.50 against per game; Auxerre average 1.36 for and 1.93 against.
In 6 league meetings since 2022, Lille won 3, Auxerre won 1 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 17 May 2026, finished Lille 0–2 Auxerre, a win for Auxerre.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–0 (14%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.5 goals in total: 1.67 for Lille and 0.80 for Auxerre.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 6 league meetings since 2022, Lille won 3, Auxerre won 1 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 17 May 2026, finished Lille 0–2 Auxerre, a win for Auxerre.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Lille vs Auxerre?
GossipBall gives Lille a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Auxerre 17%. GossipBall makes Lille favourites to beat Auxerre at home.
What is the predicted score for Lille vs Auxerre?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–0, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.7 for Lille, 0.8 for Auxerre). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–0 (14%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (12%).
Will both teams score in Lille vs Auxerre?
GossipBall gives a 45% chance that both Lille and Auxerre score.
Will there be three or more goals in Lille vs Auxerre?
There is a 45% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.5 goals in total (1.7 for Lille, 0.8 for Auxerre).
When is Lille vs Auxerre?
Kick-off is Saturday 5 December 2026 at 16:15 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Lille and Auxerre?
In 6 league meetings since 2022, Lille won 3, Auxerre won 1 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 17 May 2026, finished Lille 0–2 Auxerre, a win for Auxerre.