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Lille vs Lyon prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Lille slight favourites to beat Lyon at home in Ligue 1 on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It gives Lille a 43% chance of winning, puts the draw at 28% and gives Lyon 29%.
GossipBall expects 1.4 goals from Lille and 1.1 from Lyon, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 46% chance of three or more goals and a 51% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Lille keep a clean sheet in 33% of outcomes, Lyon in 25%.
Lille are 2nd in the table with 18 points from 9 games; Lyon are 3rd with 17. In their last five league games Lille took 8 points (LWDDW) and Lyon took 9 (WLWLW). This season Lille average 1.41 expected goals (xG) for and 1.49 against per game; Lyon average 1.59 for and 1.15 against.
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Lille won 2, Lyon won 5 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 1 Feb 2026, finished Lyon 1–0 Lille, a win for Lyon.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.5 goals in total: 1.40 for Lille and 1.10 for Lyon.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 10 league meetings since 2021, Lille won 2, Lyon won 5 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 1 Feb 2026, finished Lyon 1–0 Lille, a win for Lyon.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Lille vs Lyon?
GossipBall gives Lille a 43% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Lyon 29%. GossipBall makes Lille slight favourites to beat Lyon at home.
What is the predicted score for Lille vs Lyon?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.4 for Lille, 1.1 for Lyon). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%), 2–1 (9%).
Will both teams score in Lille vs Lyon?
GossipBall gives a 51% chance that both Lille and Lyon score.
Will there be three or more goals in Lille vs Lyon?
There is a 46% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.5 goals in total (1.4 for Lille, 1.1 for Lyon).
When is Lille vs Lyon?
Kick-off is Saturday 21 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Lille and Lyon?
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Lille won 2, Lyon won 5 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 1 Feb 2026, finished Lyon 1–0 Lille, a win for Lyon.