Ligue 1Matchday 11Sunday 22 November 2026 ·

Lorient vs Rennes prediction

38%
home win
predicted score
2–1
8.4% chance
25%
draw
38%
away win
Win probability: home 38%, draw 25%, away 38%

Predict the score

How points work

Play the free GossipBall prediction game: points for the right result and the exact score, weekly leaderboards and private leagues with friends. No prizes, just bragging rights.

Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall sees Lorient against Rennes as too close to call in Ligue 1 on Sunday 22 November 2026 at 16:15 UTC. It gives Lorient a 38% chance of winning, puts the draw at 25% and gives Rennes 38%.

GossipBall expects 1.6 goals from Lorient and 1.6 from Rennes, so goals look likely: there is a 60% chance of three or more goals and a 63% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Lorient keep a clean sheet in 21% of outcomes, Rennes in 21%.

Lorient are 11th in the table with 12 points from 9 games; Rennes are 5th with 16. In their last five league games Lorient took 7 points (LWWDL) and Rennes took 6 (LWLWL). This season Lorient average 1.16 expected goals (xG) for and 1.06 against per game; Rennes average 2.09 for and 2.33 against.

In 8 league meetings since 2021, Lorient won 6, Rennes won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 24 Jan 2026, finished Rennes 0–2 Lorient, a win for Lorient.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 8 November 2026, 00:31 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
5
6
5
3
1
<1
1
6
11
8
4
2
<1
2
5
8
7
3
1
<1
3
3
4
3
2
<1
<1
4
1
2
1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Lorient goalsColumns: Rennes goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–111.3%
2–18.4%
1–28.4%
2–26.5%
1–06.4%
0–16.4%
1 or more goals
95%
2 or more goals
82%
3 or more goals
60%
4 or more goals
38%
5 or more goals
20%
Both teams score
63%

GossipBall expects 3.1 goals in total: 1.56 for Lorient and 1.55 for Rennes.

Winning margin

Explained
Lorient by 3
5%
Lorient by 2
11%
Lorient by 1
19%
Draw
25%
Rennes by 3
5%
Rennes by 2
11%
Rennes by 1
19%

Each team's goals

Explained
Lorient expected goals1.56
Rennes expected goals1.55
Lorient keep a clean sheet21%
Rennes keep a clean sheet21%
Lorient win without conceding16%
Rennes win without conceding16%
Lorient score 2 or more46%
Rennes score 2 or more46%

Recent form

Lorient
L v Brest0–2 · 2 Nov
D @ Angers0–0 · 25 Oct
W v Monaco1–0 · 18 Oct
W v Paris FC1–0 · 10 Oct
L @ Le Mans1–2 · 19 Sep
Rennes
L @ Nice2–5 · 30 Oct
W v Strasbourg3–0 · 25 Oct
L @ Paris FC3–4 · 18 Oct
W v Auxerre4–1 · 11 Oct
L @ Lyon0–4 · 19 Sep

Head to head

Full record →

In 8 league meetings since 2021, Lorient won 6, Rennes won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 24 Jan 2026, finished Rennes 0–2 Lorient, a win for Lorient.

Rennes 0–2 Lorient24 Jan 2026
Lorient 4–0 Rennes24 Aug 2025
Rennes 1–2 Lorient3 Mar 2024
Lorient 2–1 Rennes22 Oct 2023
Lorient 2–1 Rennes27 Jan 2023
Rennes 0–1 Lorient7 Aug 2022

Season averages per game

FCLREN
0.78
Goals
2.22
0.89
Conceded
2.11
1.16
xG
2.09
1.06
xG against
2.33
10.3
Shots
16.3
2.8
On target
6.4
3.7
Corners
5.6
1.11
Yellow cards
2.33
56%
Clean sheets
22%
33%
Both score
67%
33%
3+ goals
89%

Questions and answers

Who will win Lorient vs Rennes?

GossipBall gives Lorient a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Rennes 38%. GossipBall sees Lorient against Rennes as too close to call.

What is the predicted score for Lorient vs Rennes?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.6 for Lorient, 1.6 for Rennes). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (8%), 1–2 (8%).

Will both teams score in Lorient vs Rennes?

GossipBall gives a 63% chance that both Lorient and Rennes score.

Will there be three or more goals in Lorient vs Rennes?

There is a 60% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.1 goals in total (1.6 for Lorient, 1.6 for Rennes).

When is Lorient vs Rennes?

Kick-off is Sunday 22 November 2026 at 16:15 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Lorient and Rennes?

In 8 league meetings since 2021, Lorient won 6, Rennes won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 24 Jan 2026, finished Rennes 0–2 Lorient, a win for Lorient.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 8 November 2026, 00:31 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

Sign in to play Sign in
Prediction gamePlay now
Leagues
About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 8 November 2026, 00:31 UTC