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Marseille vs Le Mans prediction
Predict the score
How points workPlay the free GossipBall prediction game: points for the right result and the exact score, weekly leaderboards and private leagues with friends. No prizes, just bragging rights.
Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Marseille clear favourites to beat Le Mans at home in Ligue 1 on Sunday 22 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It gives Marseille a 68% chance of winning, puts the draw at 17% and gives Le Mans 15%.
GossipBall expects 2.7 goals from Marseille and 1.2 from Le Mans, so goals look likely: there is a 75% chance of three or more goals and a 66% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 3–1. Marseille keep a clean sheet in 30% of outcomes, Le Mans in 7%.
Marseille are 6th in the table with 15 points from 9 games; Le Mans are 17th with 7. In their last five league games Marseille took 12 points (LWWWW) and Le Mans took 4 (WLLDL). This season Marseille average 1.63 expected goals (xG) for and 2.25 against per game; Le Mans average 1.37 for and 2.05 against.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 8 November 2026, 00:31 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 2–1 (9%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.9 goals in total: 2.67 for Marseille and 1.22 for Le Mans.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Marseille vs Le Mans?
GossipBall gives Marseille a 68% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Le Mans 15%. GossipBall makes Marseille clear favourites to beat Le Mans at home.
What is the predicted score for Marseille vs Le Mans?
GossipBall's predicted score is 3–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.7 for Marseille, 1.2 for Le Mans). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 2–1 (9%), 3–1 (8%), 2–0 (7%).
Will both teams score in Marseille vs Le Mans?
GossipBall gives a 66% chance that both Marseille and Le Mans score.
Will there be three or more goals in Marseille vs Le Mans?
There is a 75% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.9 goals in total (2.7 for Marseille, 1.2 for Le Mans).
When is Marseille vs Le Mans?
Kick-off is Sunday 22 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC.