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Marseille vs Nice prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Marseille favourites to beat Nice at home in Ligue 1 on Sunday 6 December 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It gives Marseille a 56% chance of winning, puts the draw at 22% and gives Nice 22%.
GossipBall expects 2.1 goals from Marseille and 1.3 from Nice, so goals look likely: there is a 64% chance of three or more goals and a 63% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Marseille keep a clean sheet in 29% of outcomes, Nice in 13%.
Marseille are 4th in the table with 18 points from 10 games; Nice are 6th with 17. In their last five league games Marseille took 15 points (WWWWW) and Nice took 12 (WLWWW). This season Marseille average 1.69 expected goals (xG) for and 2.23 against per game; Nice average 1.43 for and 1.70 against.
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Marseille won 4, Nice won 3 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 26 Apr 2026, was a 1–1 draw.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (10%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.3 goals in total: 2.07 for Marseille and 1.25 for Nice.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 10 league meetings since 2021, Marseille won 4, Nice won 3 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 26 Apr 2026, was a 1–1 draw.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Marseille vs Nice?
GossipBall gives Marseille a 56% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nice 22%. GossipBall makes Marseille favourites to beat Nice at home.
What is the predicted score for Marseille vs Nice?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.1 for Marseille, 1.3 for Nice). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (8%).
Will both teams score in Marseille vs Nice?
GossipBall gives a 63% chance that both Marseille and Nice score.
Will there be three or more goals in Marseille vs Nice?
There is a 64% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.3 goals in total (2.1 for Marseille, 1.3 for Nice).
When is Marseille vs Nice?
Kick-off is Sunday 6 December 2026 at 19:45 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Marseille and Nice?
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Marseille won 4, Nice won 3 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 26 Apr 2026, was a 1–1 draw.