Ligue 1Matchday 11Saturday 21 November 2026 ·

Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain prediction

17%
home win
predicted score
1–2
9.9% chance
21%
draw
Win probability: home 17%, draw 21%, away 61%

Predict the score

How points work

Play the free GossipBall prediction game: points for the right result and the exact score, weekly leaderboards and private leagues with friends. No prizes, just bragging rights.

Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Paris Saint-Germain clear favourites to beat Nice away from home in Ligue 1 on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 16:15 UTC. It gives Nice a 17% chance of winning, puts the draw at 21% and gives Paris Saint-Germain 61%.

GossipBall expects 1.0 goals from Nice and 2.1 from Paris Saint-Germain, so goals look likely: there is a 61% chance of three or more goals and a 57% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Nice keep a clean sheet in 12% of outcomes, Paris Saint-Germain in 35%.

Nice are 8th in the table with 14 points from 9 games; Paris Saint-Germain are 1st with 20. In their last five league games Nice took 12 points (WWLWW) and Paris Saint-Germain took 15 (WWWWW). This season Nice average 1.35 expected goals (xG) for and 1.80 against per game; Paris Saint-Germain average 2.66 for and 1.27 against.

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Nice won 3, Paris Saint-Germain won 5 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 21 Mar 2026, finished Nice 0–4 Paris Saint-Germain, a win for Paris Saint-Germain.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
5
9
9
7
4
2
1
4
10
10
7
4
2
2
2
5
5
4
2
<1
3
<1
2
2
1
<1
<1
4
<1
<1
<1
<1
<1
5
<1
Rows: Nice goalsColumns: Paris Saint-Germain goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how).

Most common scorelines

1–29.9%
1–19.8%
0–29.5%
0–18.5%
1–37.0%
0–36.7%
1 or more goals
95%
2 or more goals
83%
3 or more goals
61%
4 or more goals
39%
5 or more goals
21%
Both teams score
57%

GossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total: 1.05 for Nice and 2.12 for Paris Saint-Germain.

Winning margin

Explained
Nice by 3
1%
Nice by 2
5%
Nice by 1
11%
Draw
21%
Paris Saint-Germain by 3
11%
Paris Saint-Germain by 2
19%
Paris Saint-Germain by 1
23%

Each team's goals

Explained
Nice expected goals1.05
Paris Saint-Germain expected goals2.12
Nice keep a clean sheet12%
Paris Saint-Germain keep a clean sheet35%
Nice win without conceding7%
Paris Saint-Germain win without conceding30%
Nice score 2 or more28%
Paris Saint-Germain score 2 or more62%

Recent form

Nice
W v Rennes5–2 · 30 Oct
W @ Brest2–1 · 23 Oct
L @ Lyon1–2 · 18 Oct
W v Strasbourg2–1 · 11 Oct
W v Lille2–1 · 20 Sep
Paris Saint-Germain
W @ Le Havre5–1 · 30 Oct
W v Lyon2–0 · 26 Oct
W @ Strasbourg3–1 · 17 Oct
W v Le Mans3–1 · 10 Oct
W @ Marseille2–1 · 20 Sep

Head to head

Full record →

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Nice won 3, Paris Saint-Germain won 5 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 21 Mar 2026, finished Nice 0–4 Paris Saint-Germain, a win for Paris Saint-Germain.

Nice 0–4 Paris Saint-Germain21 Mar 2026
Paris Saint-Germain 1–0 Nice1 Nov 2025
Paris Saint-Germain 1–3 Nice25 Apr 2025
Nice 1–1 Paris Saint-Germain6 Oct 2024
Nice 1–2 Paris Saint-Germain15 May 2024
Paris Saint-Germain 2–3 Nice15 Sep 2023

Season averages per game

NICPSG
1.44
Goals
2.33
1.33
Conceded
1.11
1.35
xG
2.66
1.80
xG against
1.27
12.0
Shots
19.8
4.0
On target
7.9
5.7
Corners
5.6
2.44
Yellow cards
1.00
11%
Clean sheets
22%
67%
Both score
78%
67%
3+ goals
78%

Questions and answers

Who will win Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain?

GossipBall gives Nice a 17% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Paris Saint-Germain 61%. GossipBall makes Paris Saint-Germain clear favourites to beat Nice away from home.

What is the predicted score for Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain?

GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.0 for Nice, 2.1 for Paris Saint-Germain). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–2 (10%), 1–1 (10%), 0–2 (9%).

Will both teams score in Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain?

GossipBall gives a 57% chance that both Nice and Paris Saint-Germain score.

Will there be three or more goals in Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain?

There is a 61% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total (1.0 for Nice, 2.1 for Paris Saint-Germain).

When is Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain?

Kick-off is Saturday 21 November 2026 at 16:15 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Nice and Paris Saint-Germain?

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Nice won 3, Paris Saint-Germain won 5 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 21 Mar 2026, finished Nice 0–4 Paris Saint-Germain, a win for Paris Saint-Germain.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

Sign in to play
New
Prediction game

Predict the scores, beat GossipBall and climb the leaderboard. Play with friends in private leagues. Free, and no prizes: just bragging rights.

  1. nesta6
  2. andrew_092
Play now
Leagues
About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC