Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain prediction
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Paris Saint-Germain clear favourites to beat Nice away from home in Ligue 1 on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 16:15 UTC. It gives Nice a 17% chance of winning, puts the draw at 21% and gives Paris Saint-Germain 61%.
GossipBall expects 1.0 goals from Nice and 2.1 from Paris Saint-Germain, so goals look likely: there is a 61% chance of three or more goals and a 57% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Nice keep a clean sheet in 12% of outcomes, Paris Saint-Germain in 35%.
Nice are 8th in the table with 14 points from 9 games; Paris Saint-Germain are 1st with 20. In their last five league games Nice took 12 points (WWLWW) and Paris Saint-Germain took 15 (WWWWW). This season Nice average 1.35 expected goals (xG) for and 1.80 against per game; Paris Saint-Germain average 2.66 for and 1.27 against.
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Nice won 3, Paris Saint-Germain won 5 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 21 Mar 2026, finished Nice 0–4 Paris Saint-Germain, a win for Paris Saint-Germain.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how).
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total: 1.05 for Nice and 2.12 for Paris Saint-Germain.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 10 league meetings since 2021, Nice won 3, Paris Saint-Germain won 5 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 21 Mar 2026, finished Nice 0–4 Paris Saint-Germain, a win for Paris Saint-Germain.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain?
GossipBall gives Nice a 17% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Paris Saint-Germain 61%. GossipBall makes Paris Saint-Germain clear favourites to beat Nice away from home.
What is the predicted score for Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain?
GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.0 for Nice, 2.1 for Paris Saint-Germain). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–2 (10%), 1–1 (10%), 0–2 (9%).
Will both teams score in Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain?
GossipBall gives a 57% chance that both Nice and Paris Saint-Germain score.
Will there be three or more goals in Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain?
There is a 61% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total (1.0 for Nice, 2.1 for Paris Saint-Germain).
When is Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain?
Kick-off is Saturday 21 November 2026 at 16:15 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Nice and Paris Saint-Germain?
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Nice won 3, Paris Saint-Germain won 5 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 21 Mar 2026, finished Nice 0–4 Paris Saint-Germain, a win for Paris Saint-Germain.