Ligue 1Matchday 11Sunday 22 November 2026 ·

Paris FC vs Angers prediction

62%
home win
predicted score
2–1
9.5% chance
23%
draw
15%
away win
Win probability: home 62%, draw 23%, away 15%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Paris FC clear favourites to beat Angers at home in Ligue 1 on Sunday 22 November 2026 at 14:00 UTC. It gives Paris FC a 62% chance of winning, puts the draw at 23% and gives Angers 15%.

GossipBall expects 1.8 goals from Paris FC and 0.8 from Angers, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 48% chance of three or more goals and a 45% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Paris FC keep a clean sheet in 47% of outcomes, Angers in 16%.

Paris FC are 4th in the table with 17 points from 9 games; Angers are 15th with 8. In their last five league games Paris FC took 9 points (WLWLW) and Angers took 4 (WLLDL). This season Paris FC average 1.83 expected goals (xG) for and 0.98 against per game; Angers average 1.43 for and 1.76 against.

In 2 league meetings since 2025, Paris FC won 0, Angers won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 25 Jan 2026, was a 0–0 draw.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 8 November 2026, 00:31 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
8
5
2
<1
<1
1
13
11
4
1
<1
2
13
10
4
<1
<1
3
8
6
2
<1
<1
4
3
3
1
<1
5
1
<1
<1
Rows: Paris FC goalsColumns: Angers goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–0 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–013.3%
2–012.6%
1–111.0%
2–19.5%
0–08.1%
3–07.6%
1 or more goals
92%
2 or more goals
73%
3 or more goals
48%
4 or more goals
26%
5 or more goals
12%
Both teams score
45%

GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total: 1.82 for Paris FC and 0.76 for Angers.

Winning margin

Explained
Paris FC by 3
11%
Paris FC by 2
19%
Paris FC by 1
25%
Draw
23%
Angers by 3
1%
Angers by 2
3%
Angers by 1
10%

Each team's goals

Explained
Paris FC expected goals1.82
Angers expected goals0.76
Paris FC keep a clean sheet47%
Angers keep a clean sheet16%
Paris FC win without conceding39%
Angers win without conceding8%
Paris FC score 2 or more54%
Angers score 2 or more18%

Recent form

Paris FC
W v Monaco3–1 · 1 Nov
L @ Lens1–2 · 24 Oct
W v Rennes4–3 · 18 Oct
L @ Lorient0–1 · 10 Oct
W v Strasbourg2–1 · 19 Sep
Angers
L @ Lyon0–2 · 1 Nov
D v Lorient0–0 · 25 Oct
L v Marseille2–5 · 18 Oct
L @ Brest1–5 · 10 Oct
W v Troyes2–0 · 19 Sep

Head to head

Full record →

In 2 league meetings since 2025, Paris FC won 0, Angers won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 25 Jan 2026, was a 0–0 draw.

Paris FC 0–0 Angers25 Jan 2026
Angers 1–0 Paris FC17 Aug 2025

Season averages per game

PFCANG
1.78
Goals
1.00
1.11
Conceded
1.89
1.83
xG
1.43
0.98
xG against
1.76
13.9
Shots
12.3
5.1
On target
3.1
3.4
Corners
6.0
2.33
Yellow cards
1.44
33%
Clean sheets
33%
56%
Both score
44%
67%
3+ goals
44%

Questions and answers

Who will win Paris FC vs Angers?

GossipBall gives Paris FC a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Angers 15%. GossipBall makes Paris FC clear favourites to beat Angers at home.

What is the predicted score for Paris FC vs Angers?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.8 for Paris FC, 0.8 for Angers). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–0 (13%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (11%).

Will both teams score in Paris FC vs Angers?

GossipBall gives a 45% chance that both Paris FC and Angers score.

Will there be three or more goals in Paris FC vs Angers?

There is a 48% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total (1.8 for Paris FC, 0.8 for Angers).

When is Paris FC vs Angers?

Kick-off is Sunday 22 November 2026 at 14:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Paris FC and Angers?

In 2 league meetings since 2025, Paris FC won 0, Angers won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 25 Jan 2026, was a 0–0 draw.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 8 November 2026, 00:31 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 8 November 2026, 00:31 UTC