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Paris FC vs Le Mans prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Paris FC clear favourites to beat Le Mans at home in Ligue 1 on Saturday 5 December 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It gives Paris FC a 61% chance of winning, puts the draw at 22% and gives Le Mans 18%.
GossipBall expects 2.1 goals from Paris FC and 1.0 from Le Mans, so goals look likely: there is a 60% chance of three or more goals and a 57% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Paris FC keep a clean sheet in 35% of outcomes, Le Mans in 13%.
Paris FC are 3rd in the table with 20 points from 10 games; Le Mans are 15th with 8. In their last five league games Paris FC took 9 points (LWLWW) and Le Mans took 2 (LLDLD). This season Paris FC average 1.72 expected goals (xG) for and 0.97 against per game; Le Mans average 1.38 for and 1.95 against.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (10%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.1 goals in total: 2.07 for Paris FC and 1.04 for Le Mans.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Paris FC vs Le Mans?
GossipBall gives Paris FC a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Le Mans 18%. GossipBall makes Paris FC clear favourites to beat Le Mans at home.
What is the predicted score for Paris FC vs Le Mans?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.1 for Paris FC, 1.0 for Le Mans). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (10%).
Will both teams score in Paris FC vs Le Mans?
GossipBall gives a 57% chance that both Paris FC and Le Mans score.
Will there be three or more goals in Paris FC vs Le Mans?
There is a 60% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.1 goals in total (2.1 for Paris FC, 1.0 for Le Mans).
When is Paris FC vs Le Mans?
Kick-off is Saturday 5 December 2026 at 19:45 UTC.