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Strasbourg vs Lorient prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Strasbourg favourites to beat Lorient at home in Ligue 1 on Saturday 5 December 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It gives Strasbourg a 49% chance of winning, puts the draw at 25% and gives Lorient 26%.
GossipBall expects 1.7 goals from Strasbourg and 1.2 from Lorient, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 56% chance of three or more goals and a 58% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Strasbourg keep a clean sheet in 30% of outcomes, Lorient in 18%.
Strasbourg are 13th in the table with 10 points from 10 games; Lorient are 10th with 15. In their last five league games Strasbourg took 3 points (LLLWL) and Lorient took 10 (WWDLW). This season Strasbourg average 1.26 expected goals (xG) for and 1.73 against per game; Lorient average 1.21 for and 1.05 against.
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Strasbourg won 3, Lorient won 2 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 26 Apr 2026, finished Lorient 2–3 Strasbourg, a win for Strasbourg.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total: 1.72 for Strasbourg and 1.19 for Lorient.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 8 league meetings since 2021, Strasbourg won 3, Lorient won 2 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 26 Apr 2026, finished Lorient 2–3 Strasbourg, a win for Strasbourg.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Strasbourg vs Lorient?
GossipBall gives Strasbourg a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Lorient 26%. GossipBall makes Strasbourg favourites to beat Lorient at home.
What is the predicted score for Strasbourg vs Lorient?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.7 for Strasbourg, 1.2 for Lorient). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%).
Will both teams score in Strasbourg vs Lorient?
GossipBall gives a 58% chance that both Strasbourg and Lorient score.
Will there be three or more goals in Strasbourg vs Lorient?
There is a 56% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total (1.7 for Strasbourg, 1.2 for Lorient).
When is Strasbourg vs Lorient?
Kick-off is Saturday 5 December 2026 at 19:45 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Strasbourg and Lorient?
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Strasbourg won 3, Lorient won 2 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 26 Apr 2026, finished Lorient 2–3 Strasbourg, a win for Strasbourg.