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Toulouse vs Rennes prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Toulouse slight favourites to beat Rennes at home in Ligue 1 on Sunday 29 November 2026 at 16:15 UTC. It gives Toulouse a 43% chance of winning, puts the draw at 24% and gives Rennes 33%.
GossipBall expects 1.7 goals from Toulouse and 1.5 from Rennes, so goals look likely: there is a 61% chance of three or more goals and a 63% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Toulouse keep a clean sheet in 23% of outcomes, Rennes in 18%.
Toulouse are 12th in the table with 13 points from 10 games; Rennes are 8th with 16. In their last five league games Toulouse took 8 points (DWDLW) and Rennes took 6 (WLWLL). This season Toulouse average 1.80 expected goals (xG) for and 1.23 against per game; Rennes average 2.03 for and 2.13 against.
In 8 league meetings since 2022, Toulouse won 4, Rennes won 2 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 28 Feb 2026, finished Rennes 1–0 Toulouse, a win for Rennes.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total: 1.69 for Toulouse and 1.47 for Rennes.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 8 league meetings since 2022, Toulouse won 4, Rennes won 2 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 28 Feb 2026, finished Rennes 1–0 Toulouse, a win for Rennes.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Toulouse vs Rennes?
GossipBall gives Toulouse a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rennes 33%. GossipBall makes Toulouse slight favourites to beat Rennes at home.
What is the predicted score for Toulouse vs Rennes?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.7 for Toulouse, 1.5 for Rennes). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%).
Will both teams score in Toulouse vs Rennes?
GossipBall gives a 63% chance that both Toulouse and Rennes score.
Will there be three or more goals in Toulouse vs Rennes?
There is a 61% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total (1.7 for Toulouse, 1.5 for Rennes).
When is Toulouse vs Rennes?
Kick-off is Sunday 29 November 2026 at 16:15 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Toulouse and Rennes?
In 8 league meetings since 2022, Toulouse won 4, Rennes won 2 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 28 Feb 2026, finished Rennes 1–0 Toulouse, a win for Rennes.