Troyes vs Le Havre prediction
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall sees Troyes against Le Havre as too close to call in Ligue 1 on Friday 20 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It gives Troyes a 38% chance of winning, puts the draw at 28% and gives Le Havre 34%.
GossipBall expects 1.3 goals from Troyes and 1.2 from Le Havre, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 46% chance of three or more goals and a 52% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Troyes keep a clean sheet in 29% of outcomes, Le Havre in 28%.
Troyes are 16th in the table with 8 points from 9 games; Le Havre are 18th with 2. In their last five league games Troyes took 4 points (LLLDW) and Le Havre took 0 (LLLLL). This season Troyes average 1.23 expected goals (xG) for and 1.49 against per game; Le Havre average 1.64 for and 1.93 against.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 6 November 2026, 15:02 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.5 goals in total: 1.29 for Troyes and 1.22 for Le Havre.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Troyes vs Le Havre?
GossipBall gives Troyes a 38% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Le Havre 34%. GossipBall sees Troyes against Le Havre as too close to call.
What is the predicted score for Troyes vs Le Havre?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.3 for Troyes, 1.2 for Le Havre). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (10%), 0–1 (9%).
Will both teams score in Troyes vs Le Havre?
GossipBall gives a 52% chance that both Troyes and Le Havre score.
Will there be three or more goals in Troyes vs Le Havre?
There is a 46% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.5 goals in total (1.3 for Troyes, 1.2 for Le Havre).
When is Troyes vs Le Havre?
Kick-off is Friday 20 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC.