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Aston Villa vs Sunderland prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Aston Villa favourites to beat Sunderland at home in the Premier League on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives Aston Villa a 50% chance of winning, puts the draw at 27% and gives Sunderland 23%.
GossipBall expects 1.6 goals from Aston Villa and 1.0 from Sunderland, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 50% chance of three or more goals and a 53% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Aston Villa keep a clean sheet in 36% of outcomes, Sunderland in 20%.
Aston Villa are 10th in the table with 12 points from 9 games; Sunderland are 20th with 5. In their last five league games Aston Villa took 11 points (WDWWD) and Sunderland took 1 (LLLDL). This season Aston Villa average 1.20 expected goals (xG) for and 1.68 against per game; Sunderland average 1.47 for and 1.75 against.
In 2 league meetings since 2025, Aston Villa won 1, Sunderland won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 19 Apr 2026, finished Aston Villa 4–3 Sunderland, a win for Aston Villa.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total: 1.62 for Aston Villa and 1.03 for Sunderland.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 2 league meetings since 2025, Aston Villa won 1, Sunderland won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 19 Apr 2026, finished Aston Villa 4–3 Sunderland, a win for Aston Villa.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Aston Villa vs Sunderland?
GossipBall gives Aston Villa a 50% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Sunderland 23%. GossipBall makes Aston Villa favourites to beat Sunderland at home.
What is the predicted score for Aston Villa vs Sunderland?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.6 for Aston Villa, 1.0 for Sunderland). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%).
Will both teams score in Aston Villa vs Sunderland?
GossipBall gives a 53% chance that both Aston Villa and Sunderland score.
Will there be three or more goals in Aston Villa vs Sunderland?
There is a 50% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total (1.6 for Aston Villa, 1.0 for Sunderland).
When is Aston Villa vs Sunderland?
Kick-off is Saturday 21 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Aston Villa and Sunderland?
In 2 league meetings since 2025, Aston Villa won 1, Sunderland won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 19 Apr 2026, finished Aston Villa 4–3 Sunderland, a win for Aston Villa.