Español
Português
Bournemouth vs Brighton prediction
Predict the score
How points workPlay the free GossipBall prediction game: points for the right result and the exact score, weekly leaderboards and private leagues with friends. No prizes, just bragging rights.
Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Bournemouth slight favourites to beat Brighton at home in the Premier League on Wednesday 2 December 2026 at 20:15 UTC. It gives Bournemouth a 39% chance of winning, puts the draw at 26% and gives Brighton 34%.
GossipBall expects 1.5 goals from Bournemouth and 1.4 from Brighton, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 56% chance of three or more goals and a 60% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Bournemouth keep a clean sheet in 24% of outcomes, Brighton in 22%.
Bournemouth are 7th in the table with 15 points from 10 games; Brighton are 2nd with 22. In their last five league games Bournemouth took 12 points (LWWWW) and Brighton took 12 (WWLWW). This season Bournemouth average 1.80 expected goals (xG) for and 1.14 against per game; Brighton average 1.93 for and 1.36 against.
In 8 league meetings since 2023, Bournemouth won 2, Brighton won 5 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 19 Jan 2026, was a 1–1 draw.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total: 1.52 for Bournemouth and 1.41 for Brighton.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 8 league meetings since 2023, Bournemouth won 2, Brighton won 5 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 19 Jan 2026, was a 1–1 draw.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Bournemouth vs Brighton?
GossipBall gives Bournemouth a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Brighton 34%. GossipBall makes Bournemouth slight favourites to beat Brighton at home.
What is the predicted score for Bournemouth vs Brighton?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.5 for Bournemouth, 1.4 for Brighton). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%).
Will both teams score in Bournemouth vs Brighton?
GossipBall gives a 60% chance that both Bournemouth and Brighton score.
Will there be three or more goals in Bournemouth vs Brighton?
There is a 56% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total (1.5 for Bournemouth, 1.4 for Brighton).
When is Bournemouth vs Brighton?
Kick-off is Wednesday 2 December 2026 at 20:15 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Bournemouth and Brighton?
In 8 league meetings since 2023, Bournemouth won 2, Brighton won 5 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 19 Jan 2026, was a 1–1 draw.