Premier LeagueMatchday 14Saturday 5 December 2026 ·

Bournemouth vs Hull prediction

51%
home win
predicted score
2–0
10.4% chance
28%
draw
21%
away win
Win probability: home 51%, draw 28%, away 21%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Bournemouth favourites to beat Hull at home in the Premier League on Saturday 5 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives Bournemouth a 51% chance of winning, puts the draw at 28% and gives Hull 21%.

GossipBall expects 1.5 goals from Bournemouth and 0.9 from Hull, so a tight, low-scoring game is slightly more likely: there is a 43% chance of three or more goals and a 47% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–0. Bournemouth keep a clean sheet in 41% of outcomes, Hull in 22%.

Bournemouth are 7th in the table with 15 points from 10 games; Hull are 13th with 11. In their last five league games Bournemouth took 12 points (LWWWW) and Hull took 3 (DLDDL). This season Bournemouth average 1.80 expected goals (xG) for and 1.14 against per game; Hull average 0.95 for and 1.45 against.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
10
7
4
1
<1
1
13
13
5
2
<1
2
10
9
4
1
<1
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5
5
2
<1
<1
4
2
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<1
Rows: Bournemouth goalsColumns: Hull goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–113.1%
1–012.6%
2–010.4%
0–010.0%
2–19.2%
0–16.9%
1 or more goals
90%
2 or more goals
70%
3 or more goals
43%
4 or more goals
22%
5 or more goals
10%
Both teams score
47%

GossipBall expects 2.4 goals in total: 1.53 for Bournemouth and 0.89 for Hull.

Winning margin

Explained
Bournemouth by 3
7%
Bournemouth by 2
16%
Bournemouth by 1
24%
Draw
28%
Hull by 3
1%
Hull by 2
5%
Hull by 1
14%

Each team's goals

Explained
Bournemouth expected goals1.53
Hull expected goals0.89
Bournemouth keep a clean sheet41%
Hull keep a clean sheet22%
Bournemouth win without conceding31%
Hull win without conceding12%
Bournemouth score 2 or more45%
Hull score 2 or more22%

Recent form

Bournemouth
W @ Ipswich2–1 · 8 Nov
W v Leeds2–0 · 31 Oct
W @ Manchester United3–0 · 25 Oct
W v Sunderland2–0 · 18 Oct
L @ Chelsea1–5 · 10 Oct
Hull
L @ Arsenal0–1 · 7 Nov
D v Ipswich2–2 · 31 Oct
D v Brentford1–1 · 25 Oct
L @ Fulham0–1 · 17 Oct
D v Everton2–2 · 11 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.

Season averages per game

BOUHUL
1.60
Goals
1.10
1.40
Conceded
1.10
1.80
xG
0.95
1.14
xG against
1.45
14.2
Shots
10.3
4.9
On target
3.1
4.8
Corners
4.1
2.70
Yellow cards
2.70
30%
Clean sheets
30%
60%
Both score
50%
60%
3+ goals
40%

Questions and answers

Who will win Bournemouth vs Hull?

GossipBall gives Bournemouth a 51% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Hull 21%. GossipBall makes Bournemouth favourites to beat Hull at home.

What is the predicted score for Bournemouth vs Hull?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–0, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.5 for Bournemouth, 0.9 for Hull). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (13%), 2–0 (10%).

Will both teams score in Bournemouth vs Hull?

GossipBall gives a 47% chance that both Bournemouth and Hull score.

Will there be three or more goals in Bournemouth vs Hull?

There is a 43% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.4 goals in total (1.5 for Bournemouth, 0.9 for Hull).

When is Bournemouth vs Hull?

Kick-off is Saturday 5 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC