Premier LeagueMatchday 13Wednesday 2 December 2026 ·

Brentford vs Arsenal prediction

20%
home win
predicted score
1–2
9.6% chance
26%
draw
53%
away win
Win probability: home 20%, draw 26%, away 53%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Arsenal favourites to beat Brentford away from home in the Premier League on Wednesday 2 December 2026 at 20:15 UTC. It gives Brentford a 20% chance of winning, puts the draw at 26% and gives Arsenal 53%.

GossipBall expects 0.9 goals from Brentford and 1.6 from Arsenal, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 47% chance of three or more goals and a 50% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Brentford keep a clean sheet in 19% of outcomes, Arsenal in 40%.

Brentford are 8th in the table with 14 points from 10 games; Arsenal are 1st with 27. In their last five league games Brentford took 5 points (DLDWL) and Arsenal took 15 (WWWWW). This season Brentford average 1.45 expected goals (xG) for and 1.48 against per game; Arsenal average 1.61 for and 0.76 against.

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Brentford won 1, Arsenal won 6 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 12 Feb 2026, was a 1–1 draw.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
9
12
10
6
2
<1
1
6
13
10
5
2
<1
2
3
5
4
2
<1
<1
3
1
2
1
<1
<1
<1
4
<1
<1
<1
<1
5
Rows: Brentford goalsColumns: Arsenal goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–112.6%
0–111.7%
0–210.4%
1–29.6%
0–08.7%
1–06.1%
1 or more goals
91%
2 or more goals
74%
3 or more goals
47%
4 or more goals
26%
5 or more goals
12%
Both teams score
50%

GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total: 0.92 for Brentford and 1.65 for Arsenal.

Winning margin

Explained
Brentford by 3
1%
Brentford by 2
5%
Brentford by 1
13%
Draw
26%
Arsenal by 3
8%
Arsenal by 2
17%
Arsenal by 1
24%

Each team's goals

Explained
Brentford expected goals0.92
Arsenal expected goals1.65
Brentford keep a clean sheet19%
Arsenal keep a clean sheet40%
Brentford win without conceding11%
Arsenal win without conceding31%
Brentford score 2 or more23%
Arsenal score 2 or more49%

Recent form

Brentford
L @ Brighton0–2 · 8 Nov
W v Nottingham Forest2–0 · 31 Oct
D @ Hull1–1 · 25 Oct
L v Liverpool1–2 · 17 Oct
D @ Aston Villa2–2 · 10 Oct
Arsenal
W v Hull1–0 · 7 Nov
W @ Liverpool1–0 · 1 Nov
W v Everton2–0 · 24 Oct
W @ Nottingham Forest1–0 · 18 Oct
W v Leeds2–1 · 10 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Brentford won 1, Arsenal won 6 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 12 Feb 2026, was a 1–1 draw.

Brentford 1–1 Arsenal12 Feb 2026
Arsenal 2–0 Brentford3 Dec 2025
Arsenal 1–1 Brentford12 Apr 2025
Brentford 1–3 Arsenal1 Jan 2025
Arsenal 2–1 Brentford9 Mar 2024
Brentford 0–1 Arsenal25 Nov 2023

Season averages per game

BREARS
1.60
Goals
1.50
1.10
Conceded
0.50
1.45
xG
1.61
1.48
xG against
0.76
13.1
Shots
13.8
3.6
On target
4.8
3.9
Corners
5.6
2.40
Yellow cards
1.60
30%
Clean sheets
70%
60%
Both score
20%
50%
3+ goals
40%

Questions and answers

Who will win Brentford vs Arsenal?

GossipBall gives Brentford a 20% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Arsenal 53%. GossipBall makes Arsenal favourites to beat Brentford away from home.

What is the predicted score for Brentford vs Arsenal?

GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (0.9 for Brentford, 1.6 for Arsenal). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (12%), 0–2 (10%).

Will both teams score in Brentford vs Arsenal?

GossipBall gives a 50% chance that both Brentford and Arsenal score.

Will there be three or more goals in Brentford vs Arsenal?

There is a 47% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total (0.9 for Brentford, 1.6 for Arsenal).

When is Brentford vs Arsenal?

Kick-off is Wednesday 2 December 2026 at 20:15 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Brentford and Arsenal?

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Brentford won 1, Arsenal won 6 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 12 Feb 2026, was a 1–1 draw.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC