Brentford vs Arsenal prediction
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Arsenal favourites to beat Brentford away from home in the Premier League on Wednesday 2 December 2026 at 20:15 UTC. It gives Brentford a 20% chance of winning, puts the draw at 26% and gives Arsenal 53%.
GossipBall expects 0.9 goals from Brentford and 1.6 from Arsenal, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 47% chance of three or more goals and a 50% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Brentford keep a clean sheet in 19% of outcomes, Arsenal in 40%.
Brentford are 8th in the table with 14 points from 10 games; Arsenal are 1st with 27. In their last five league games Brentford took 5 points (DLDWL) and Arsenal took 15 (WWWWW). This season Brentford average 1.45 expected goals (xG) for and 1.48 against per game; Arsenal average 1.61 for and 0.76 against.
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Brentford won 1, Arsenal won 6 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 12 Feb 2026, was a 1–1 draw.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total: 0.92 for Brentford and 1.65 for Arsenal.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 10 league meetings since 2021, Brentford won 1, Arsenal won 6 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 12 Feb 2026, was a 1–1 draw.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Brentford vs Arsenal?
GossipBall gives Brentford a 20% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Arsenal 53%. GossipBall makes Arsenal favourites to beat Brentford away from home.
What is the predicted score for Brentford vs Arsenal?
GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (0.9 for Brentford, 1.6 for Arsenal). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (12%), 0–2 (10%).
Will both teams score in Brentford vs Arsenal?
GossipBall gives a 50% chance that both Brentford and Arsenal score.
Will there be three or more goals in Brentford vs Arsenal?
There is a 47% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total (0.9 for Brentford, 1.6 for Arsenal).
When is Brentford vs Arsenal?
Kick-off is Wednesday 2 December 2026 at 20:15 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Brentford and Arsenal?
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Brentford won 1, Arsenal won 6 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 12 Feb 2026, was a 1–1 draw.