Premier LeagueMatchday 11Monday 23 November 2026 ·

Brentford vs Everton prediction

46%
home win
predicted score
2–1
9.2% chance
28%
draw
26%
away win
Win probability: home 46%, draw 28%, away 26%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Brentford favourites to beat Everton at home in the Premier League on Monday 23 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC. It gives Brentford a 46% chance of winning, puts the draw at 28% and gives Everton 26%.

GossipBall expects 1.5 goals from Brentford and 1.1 from Everton, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 47% chance of three or more goals and a 52% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Brentford keep a clean sheet in 35% of outcomes, Everton in 22%.

Brentford are 6th in the table with 14 points from 9 games; Everton are 7th with 13. In their last five league games Brentford took 8 points (WDLDW) and Everton took 7 (WDLLW). This season Brentford average 1.55 expected goals (xG) for and 1.41 against per game; Everton average 1.36 for and 1.46 against.

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Brentford won 3, Everton won 3 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 11 Apr 2026, was a 2–2 draw.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 9 November 2026, 06:17 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
9
7
4
2
<1
1
11
13
6
2
<1
<1
2
9
9
5
2
<1
<1
3
4
5
2
<1
<1
4
2
2
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Brentford goalsColumns: Everton goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–113.3%
1–010.6%
2–19.2%
0–08.8%
2–08.7%
0–17.2%
1 or more goals
91%
2 or more goals
73%
3 or more goals
47%
4 or more goals
25%
5 or more goals
12%
Both teams score
52%

GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total: 1.50 for Brentford and 1.06 for Everton.

Winning margin

Explained
Brentford by 3
6%
Brentford by 2
14%
Brentford by 1
23%
Draw
28%
Everton by 3
2%
Everton by 2
7%
Everton by 1
16%

Each team's goals

Explained
Brentford expected goals1.50
Everton expected goals1.06
Brentford keep a clean sheet35%
Everton keep a clean sheet22%
Brentford win without conceding26%
Everton win without conceding14%
Brentford score 2 or more44%
Everton score 2 or more28%

Recent form

Brentford
W v Nottingham Forest2–0 · 31 Oct
D @ Hull1–1 · 25 Oct
L v Liverpool1–2 · 17 Oct
D @ Aston Villa2–2 · 10 Oct
W v Chelsea3–0 · 18 Sep
Everton
W @ Newcastle United1–0 · 2 Nov
L @ Arsenal0–2 · 24 Oct
L v Chelsea0–2 · 17 Oct
D @ Hull2–2 · 11 Oct
W v Ipswich1–0 · 19 Sep

Head to head

Full record →

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Brentford won 3, Everton won 3 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 11 Apr 2026, was a 2–2 draw.

Brentford 2–2 Everton11 Apr 2026
Everton 2–4 Brentford4 Jan 2026
Brentford 1–1 Everton26 Feb 2025
Everton 0–0 Brentford23 Nov 2024
Everton 1–0 Brentford27 Apr 2024
Brentford 1–3 Everton23 Sep 2023

Season averages per game

BREEVE
1.78
Goals
1.00
1.00
Conceded
1.00
1.55
xG
1.36
1.41
xG against
1.46
14.0
Shots
13.9
4.0
On target
4.8
4.0
Corners
4.9
2.44
Yellow cards
1.89
33%
Clean sheets
44%
67%
Both score
33%
56%
3+ goals
22%

Questions and answers

Who will win Brentford vs Everton?

GossipBall gives Brentford a 46% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Everton 26%. GossipBall makes Brentford favourites to beat Everton at home.

What is the predicted score for Brentford vs Everton?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.5 for Brentford, 1.1 for Everton). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%), 2–1 (9%).

Will both teams score in Brentford vs Everton?

GossipBall gives a 52% chance that both Brentford and Everton score.

Will there be three or more goals in Brentford vs Everton?

There is a 47% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total (1.5 for Brentford, 1.1 for Everton).

When is Brentford vs Everton?

Kick-off is Monday 23 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Brentford and Everton?

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Brentford won 3, Everton won 3 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 11 Apr 2026, was a 2–2 draw.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 9 November 2026, 06:17 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 9 November 2026, 06:17 UTC