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Brighton vs Newcastle United prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Brighton favourites to beat Newcastle United at home in the Premier League on Sunday 29 November 2026 at 14:05 UTC. It gives Brighton a 48% chance of winning, puts the draw at 25% and gives Newcastle United 27%.
GossipBall expects 1.8 goals from Brighton and 1.3 from Newcastle United, so goals look likely: there is a 61% chance of three or more goals and a 62% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Brighton keep a clean sheet in 27% of outcomes, Newcastle United in 16%.
Brighton are 2nd in the table with 22 points from 10 games; Newcastle United are 12th with 12. In their last five league games Brighton took 12 points (WWLWW) and Newcastle United took 4 (LLWLD). This season Brighton average 1.93 expected goals (xG) for and 1.36 against per game; Newcastle United average 1.17 for and 1.63 against.
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Brighton won 3, Newcastle United won 3 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 2 May 2026, finished Newcastle United 3–1 Brighton, a win for Newcastle United.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.1 goals in total: 1.81 for Brighton and 1.31 for Newcastle United.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 10 league meetings since 2021, Brighton won 3, Newcastle United won 3 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 2 May 2026, finished Newcastle United 3–1 Brighton, a win for Newcastle United.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Brighton vs Newcastle United?
GossipBall gives Brighton a 48% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Newcastle United 27%. GossipBall makes Brighton favourites to beat Newcastle United at home.
What is the predicted score for Brighton vs Newcastle United?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.8 for Brighton, 1.3 for Newcastle United). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 2–0 (7%).
Will both teams score in Brighton vs Newcastle United?
GossipBall gives a 62% chance that both Brighton and Newcastle United score.
Will there be three or more goals in Brighton vs Newcastle United?
There is a 61% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.1 goals in total (1.8 for Brighton, 1.3 for Newcastle United).
When is Brighton vs Newcastle United?
Kick-off is Sunday 29 November 2026 at 14:05 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Brighton and Newcastle United?
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Brighton won 3, Newcastle United won 3 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 2 May 2026, finished Newcastle United 3–1 Brighton, a win for Newcastle United.