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Chelsea vs Leeds prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Chelsea favourites to beat Leeds at home in the Premier League on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives Chelsea a 49% chance of winning, puts the draw at 26% and gives Leeds 25%.
GossipBall expects 1.7 goals from Chelsea and 1.1 from Leeds, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 54% chance of three or more goals and a 56% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Chelsea keep a clean sheet in 32% of outcomes, Leeds in 19%.
Chelsea are 4th in the table with 16 points from 9 games; Leeds are 12th with 11. In their last five league games Chelsea took 9 points (LWWLW) and Leeds took 3 (DLDDL). This season Chelsea average 1.42 expected goals (xG) for and 1.40 against per game; Leeds average 1.24 for and 1.30 against.
In 6 league meetings since 2021, Chelsea won 3, Leeds won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 10 Feb 2026, was a 2–2 draw.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.8 goals in total: 1.68 for Chelsea and 1.14 for Leeds.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 6 league meetings since 2021, Chelsea won 3, Leeds won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 10 Feb 2026, was a 2–2 draw.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Chelsea vs Leeds?
GossipBall gives Chelsea a 49% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Leeds 25%. GossipBall makes Chelsea favourites to beat Leeds at home.
What is the predicted score for Chelsea vs Leeds?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.7 for Chelsea, 1.1 for Leeds). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%).
Will both teams score in Chelsea vs Leeds?
GossipBall gives a 56% chance that both Chelsea and Leeds score.
Will there be three or more goals in Chelsea vs Leeds?
There is a 54% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.8 goals in total (1.7 for Chelsea, 1.1 for Leeds).
When is Chelsea vs Leeds?
Kick-off is Saturday 21 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Chelsea and Leeds?
In 6 league meetings since 2021, Chelsea won 3, Leeds won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 10 Feb 2026, was a 2–2 draw.