Premier LeagueMatchday 11Saturday 21 November 2026 ·

Coventry vs Crystal Palace prediction

36%
home win
predicted score
2–1
8.0% chance
29%
draw
35%
away win
Win probability: home 36%, draw 29%, away 35%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall sees Coventry against Crystal Palace as too close to call in the Premier League on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives Coventry a 36% chance of winning, puts the draw at 29% and gives Crystal Palace 35%.

GossipBall expects 1.2 goals from Coventry and 1.2 from Crystal Palace, so a tight, low-scoring game is slightly more likely: there is a 44% chance of three or more goals and a 51% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Coventry keep a clean sheet in 30% of outcomes, Crystal Palace in 29%.

Coventry are 16th in the table with 9 points from 9 games; Crystal Palace are 18th with 7. In their last five league games Coventry took 9 points (WWLLW) and Crystal Palace took 4 (DWLLL). This season Coventry average 0.92 expected goals (xG) for and 1.52 against per game; Crystal Palace average 1.24 for and 2.14 against.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
10
9
6
3
<1
<1
1
10
14
8
3
<1
<1
2
7
8
5
2
<1
<1
3
3
3
2
<1
<1
4
<1
1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Coventry goalsColumns: Crystal Palace goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (14%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–114.0%
0–09.7%
1–09.5%
0–19.4%
2–18.0%
1–27.9%
1 or more goals
90%
2 or more goals
71%
3 or more goals
44%
4 or more goals
23%
5 or more goals
10%
Both teams score
51%

GossipBall expects 2.5 goals in total: 1.24 for Coventry and 1.22 for Crystal Palace.

Winning margin

Explained
Coventry by 3
4%
Coventry by 2
11%
Coventry by 1
20%
Draw
29%
Crystal Palace by 3
4%
Crystal Palace by 2
10%
Crystal Palace by 1
19%

Each team's goals

Explained
Coventry expected goals1.24
Crystal Palace expected goals1.22
Coventry keep a clean sheet30%
Crystal Palace keep a clean sheet29%
Coventry win without conceding20%
Crystal Palace win without conceding19%
Coventry score 2 or more35%
Crystal Palace score 2 or more34%

Recent form

Coventry
W v Sunderland3–1 · 31 Oct
L v Fulham0–1 · 24 Oct
L @ Tottenham1–3 · 19 Oct
W v Newcastle United4–1 · 12 Oct
W @ Nottingham Forest1–0 · 19 Sep
Crystal Palace
L @ Tottenham0–2 · 31 Oct
L v Newcastle United0–2 · 25 Oct
L @ Brighton0–5 · 18 Oct
W v Nottingham Forest3–1 · 11 Oct
D @ Leeds0–0 · 20 Sep

Head to head

Full record →

These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.

Season averages per game

COVCRY
1.00
Goals
1.00
1.78
Conceded
2.33
0.92
xG
1.24
1.52
xG against
2.14
10.8
Shots
10.0
3.2
On target
3.4
3.8
Corners
3.2
1.11
Yellow cards
1.44
11%
Clean sheets
11%
33%
Both score
44%
56%
3+ goals
56%

Questions and answers

Who will win Coventry vs Crystal Palace?

GossipBall gives Coventry a 36% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Crystal Palace 35%. GossipBall sees Coventry against Crystal Palace as too close to call.

What is the predicted score for Coventry vs Crystal Palace?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.2 for Coventry, 1.2 for Crystal Palace). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (14%), 0–0 (10%), 1–0 (10%).

Will both teams score in Coventry vs Crystal Palace?

GossipBall gives a 51% chance that both Coventry and Crystal Palace score.

Will there be three or more goals in Coventry vs Crystal Palace?

There is a 44% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.5 goals in total (1.2 for Coventry, 1.2 for Crystal Palace).

When is Coventry vs Crystal Palace?

Kick-off is Saturday 21 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC