Premier LeagueMatchday 12Sunday 29 November 2026 ·

Fulham vs Bournemouth prediction

36%
home win
predicted score
2–1
8.2% chance
28%
draw
36%
away win
Win probability: home 36%, draw 28%, away 36%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall sees Fulham against Bournemouth as too close to call in the Premier League on Sunday 29 November 2026 at 14:05 UTC. It gives Fulham a 36% chance of winning, puts the draw at 28% and gives Bournemouth 36%.

GossipBall expects 1.3 goals from Fulham and 1.3 from Bournemouth, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 49% chance of three or more goals and a 55% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Fulham keep a clean sheet in 27% of outcomes, Bournemouth in 27%.

Fulham are 15th in the table with 10 points from 10 games; Bournemouth are 7th with 15. In their last five league games Fulham took 8 points (LWWDD) and Bournemouth took 12 (LWWWW). This season Fulham average 1.44 expected goals (xG) for and 1.34 against per game; Bournemouth average 1.80 for and 1.14 against.

In 8 league meetings since 2022, Fulham won 1, Bournemouth won 5 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 9 May 2026, finished Fulham 0–1 Bournemouth, a win for Bournemouth.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
8
8
6
3
<1
<1
1
8
13
8
4
1
<1
2
6
8
5
2
<1
<1
3
3
4
2
1
<1
4
<1
1
<1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Fulham goalsColumns: Bournemouth goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–113.5%
1–08.3%
0–18.3%
2–18.2%
1–28.2%
0–08.1%
1 or more goals
92%
2 or more goals
75%
3 or more goals
49%
4 or more goals
27%
5 or more goals
13%
Both teams score
55%

GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total: 1.32 for Fulham and 1.32 for Bournemouth.

Winning margin

Explained
Fulham by 3
4%
Fulham by 2
11%
Fulham by 1
19%
Draw
28%
Bournemouth by 3
4%
Bournemouth by 2
11%
Bournemouth by 1
19%

Each team's goals

Explained
Fulham expected goals1.32
Bournemouth expected goals1.32
Fulham keep a clean sheet27%
Bournemouth keep a clean sheet27%
Fulham win without conceding19%
Bournemouth win without conceding18%
Fulham score 2 or more38%
Bournemouth score 2 or more38%

Recent form

Fulham
D v Newcastle United1–1 · 7 Nov
D @ Aston Villa1–1 · 31 Oct
W @ Coventry1–0 · 24 Oct
W v Hull1–0 · 17 Oct
L @ Ipswich1–2 · 10 Oct
Bournemouth
W @ Ipswich2–1 · 8 Nov
W v Leeds2–0 · 31 Oct
W @ Manchester United3–0 · 25 Oct
W v Sunderland2–0 · 18 Oct
L @ Chelsea1–5 · 10 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 8 league meetings since 2022, Fulham won 1, Bournemouth won 5 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 9 May 2026, finished Fulham 0–1 Bournemouth, a win for Bournemouth.

Fulham 0–1 Bournemouth9 May 2026
Bournemouth 3–1 Fulham3 Oct 2025
Bournemouth 1–0 Fulham14 Apr 2025
Fulham 2–2 Bournemouth29 Dec 2024
Fulham 3–1 Bournemouth10 Feb 2024
Bournemouth 3–0 Fulham26 Dec 2023

Season averages per game

FULBOU
1.00
Goals
1.60
1.20
Conceded
1.40
1.44
xG
1.80
1.34
xG against
1.14
14.0
Shots
14.2
4.6
On target
4.9
5.9
Corners
4.8
1.90
Yellow cards
2.70
30%
Clean sheets
30%
60%
Both score
60%
30%
3+ goals
60%

Questions and answers

Who will win Fulham vs Bournemouth?

GossipBall gives Fulham a 36% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Bournemouth 36%. GossipBall sees Fulham against Bournemouth as too close to call.

What is the predicted score for Fulham vs Bournemouth?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.3 for Fulham, 1.3 for Bournemouth). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (8%), 0–1 (8%).

Will both teams score in Fulham vs Bournemouth?

GossipBall gives a 55% chance that both Fulham and Bournemouth score.

Will there be three or more goals in Fulham vs Bournemouth?

There is a 49% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total (1.3 for Fulham, 1.3 for Bournemouth).

When is Fulham vs Bournemouth?

Kick-off is Sunday 29 November 2026 at 14:05 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Fulham and Bournemouth?

In 8 league meetings since 2022, Fulham won 1, Bournemouth won 5 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 9 May 2026, finished Fulham 0–1 Bournemouth, a win for Bournemouth.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC