Premier LeagueMatchday 15Saturday 12 December 2026 ·

Fulham vs Brentford prediction

37%
home win
predicted score
2–1
8.4% chance
28%
draw
35%
away win
Win probability: home 37%, draw 28%, away 35%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall sees Fulham against Brentford as too close to call in the Premier League on Saturday 12 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives Fulham a 37% chance of winning, puts the draw at 28% and gives Brentford 35%.

GossipBall expects 1.4 goals from Fulham and 1.3 from Brentford, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 51% chance of three or more goals and a 56% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Fulham keep a clean sheet in 27% of outcomes, Brentford in 25%.

Fulham are 15th in the table with 10 points from 10 games; Brentford are 8th with 14. In their last five league games Fulham took 8 points (LWWDD) and Brentford took 5 (DLDWL). This season Fulham average 1.44 expected goals (xG) for and 1.34 against per game; Brentford average 1.45 for and 1.48 against.

In 8 league meetings since 2022, Fulham won 4, Brentford won 2 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 18 Apr 2026, was a 0–0 draw.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
8
8
6
3
<1
<1
1
8
13
8
4
1
<1
2
6
8
6
2
<1
<1
3
3
4
3
1
<1
<1
4
1
1
<1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Fulham goalsColumns: Brentford goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–113.3%
2–18.4%
1–08.2%
1–28.1%
0–17.9%
0–07.8%
1 or more goals
92%
2 or more goals
76%
3 or more goals
51%
4 or more goals
29%
5 or more goals
14%
Both teams score
56%

GossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total: 1.37 for Fulham and 1.32 for Brentford.

Winning margin

Explained
Fulham by 3
4%
Fulham by 2
11%
Fulham by 1
20%
Draw
28%
Brentford by 3
4%
Brentford by 2
10%
Brentford by 1
19%

Each team's goals

Explained
Fulham expected goals1.37
Brentford expected goals1.32
Fulham keep a clean sheet27%
Brentford keep a clean sheet25%
Fulham win without conceding19%
Brentford win without conceding18%
Fulham score 2 or more40%
Brentford score 2 or more38%

Recent form

Fulham
D v Newcastle United1–1 · 7 Nov
D @ Aston Villa1–1 · 31 Oct
W @ Coventry1–0 · 24 Oct
W v Hull1–0 · 17 Oct
L @ Ipswich1–2 · 10 Oct
Brentford
L @ Brighton0–2 · 8 Nov
W v Nottingham Forest2–0 · 31 Oct
D @ Hull1–1 · 25 Oct
L v Liverpool1–2 · 17 Oct
D @ Aston Villa2–2 · 10 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 8 league meetings since 2022, Fulham won 4, Brentford won 2 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 18 Apr 2026, was a 0–0 draw.

Brentford 0–0 Fulham18 Apr 2026
Fulham 3–1 Brentford20 Sep 2025
Brentford 2–3 Fulham18 May 2025
Fulham 2–1 Brentford4 Nov 2024
Brentford 0–0 Fulham4 May 2024
Fulham 0–3 Brentford19 Aug 2023

Season averages per game

FULBRE
1.00
Goals
1.60
1.20
Conceded
1.10
1.44
xG
1.45
1.34
xG against
1.48
14.0
Shots
13.1
4.6
On target
3.6
5.9
Corners
3.9
1.90
Yellow cards
2.40
30%
Clean sheets
30%
60%
Both score
60%
30%
3+ goals
50%

Questions and answers

Who will win Fulham vs Brentford?

GossipBall gives Fulham a 37% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Brentford 35%. GossipBall sees Fulham against Brentford as too close to call.

What is the predicted score for Fulham vs Brentford?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.4 for Fulham, 1.3 for Brentford). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (13%), 2–1 (8%), 1–0 (8%).

Will both teams score in Fulham vs Brentford?

GossipBall gives a 56% chance that both Fulham and Brentford score.

Will there be three or more goals in Fulham vs Brentford?

There is a 51% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total (1.4 for Fulham, 1.3 for Brentford).

When is Fulham vs Brentford?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Fulham and Brentford?

In 8 league meetings since 2022, Fulham won 4, Brentford won 2 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 18 Apr 2026, was a 0–0 draw.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC