Premier LeagueMatchday 15Saturday 12 December 2026 ·

Ipswich vs Newcastle United prediction

23%
home win
predicted score
1–2
9.5% chance
23%
draw
55%
away win
Win probability: home 23%, draw 23%, away 55%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Newcastle United favourites to beat Ipswich away from home in the Premier League on Saturday 12 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives Ipswich a 23% chance of winning, puts the draw at 23% and gives Newcastle United 55%.

GossipBall expects 1.3 goals from Ipswich and 2.1 from Newcastle United, so goals look likely: there is a 66% chance of three or more goals and a 65% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Ipswich keep a clean sheet in 12% of outcomes, Newcastle United in 27%.

Ipswich are 14th in the table with 11 points from 10 games; Newcastle United are 12th with 12. In their last five league games Ipswich took 5 points (WLDDL) and Newcastle United took 4 (LLWLD). This season Ipswich average 1.33 expected goals (xG) for and 1.94 against per game; Newcastle United average 1.17 for and 1.63 against.

In 2 league meetings since 2024, Ipswich won 0, Newcastle United won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 26 Apr 2025, finished Newcastle United 3–0 Ipswich, a win for Newcastle United.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
4
6
7
5
3
1
1
4
10
10
7
3
1
2
3
6
6
4
2
<1
3
1
3
3
2
1
<1
4
<1
<1
<1
<1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Ipswich goalsColumns: Newcastle United goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (10%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–19.9%
1–29.5%
0–27.2%
1–36.7%
2–26.3%
0–16.2%
1 or more goals
96%
2 or more goals
86%
3 or more goals
66%
4 or more goals
44%
5 or more goals
26%
Both teams score
65%

GossipBall expects 3.4 goals in total: 1.31 for Ipswich and 2.09 for Newcastle United.

Winning margin

Explained
Ipswich by 3
2%
Ipswich by 2
7%
Ipswich by 1
13%
Draw
23%
Newcastle United by 3
10%
Newcastle United by 2
17%
Newcastle United by 1
21%

Each team's goals

Explained
Ipswich expected goals1.31
Newcastle United expected goals2.09
Ipswich keep a clean sheet12%
Newcastle United keep a clean sheet27%
Ipswich win without conceding8%
Newcastle United win without conceding23%
Ipswich score 2 or more38%
Newcastle United score 2 or more62%

Recent form

Ipswich
L v Bournemouth1–2 · 8 Nov
D @ Hull2–2 · 31 Oct
D v Nottingham Forest1–1 · 23 Oct
L @ Manchester City2–3 · 17 Oct
W v Fulham2–1 · 10 Oct
Newcastle United
D @ Fulham1–1 · 7 Nov
L v Everton0–1 · 2 Nov
W @ Crystal Palace2–0 · 25 Oct
L v Aston Villa0–1 · 17 Oct
L @ Coventry1–4 · 12 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 2 league meetings since 2024, Ipswich won 0, Newcastle United won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 26 Apr 2025, finished Newcastle United 3–0 Ipswich, a win for Newcastle United.

Newcastle United 3–0 Ipswich26 Apr 2025
Ipswich 0–4 Newcastle United21 Dec 2024

Season averages per game

IPSNEW
1.50
Goals
1.30
2.00
Conceded
1.60
1.33
xG
1.17
1.94
xG against
1.63
10.9
Shots
12.2
3.9
On target
3.4
2.8
Corners
4.3
1.80
Yellow cards
3.10
0%
Clean sheets
20%
80%
Both score
60%
70%
3+ goals
50%

Questions and answers

Who will win Ipswich vs Newcastle United?

GossipBall gives Ipswich a 23% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Newcastle United 55%. GossipBall makes Newcastle United favourites to beat Ipswich away from home.

What is the predicted score for Ipswich vs Newcastle United?

GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.3 for Ipswich, 2.1 for Newcastle United). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (10%), 1–2 (10%), 0–2 (7%).

Will both teams score in Ipswich vs Newcastle United?

GossipBall gives a 65% chance that both Ipswich and Newcastle United score.

Will there be three or more goals in Ipswich vs Newcastle United?

There is a 66% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.4 goals in total (1.3 for Ipswich, 2.1 for Newcastle United).

When is Ipswich vs Newcastle United?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Ipswich and Newcastle United?

In 2 league meetings since 2024, Ipswich won 0, Newcastle United won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 26 Apr 2025, finished Newcastle United 3–0 Ipswich, a win for Newcastle United.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC