Premier LeagueMatchday 14Saturday 5 December 2026 ·

Leeds vs Ipswich prediction

60%
home win
predicted score
2–1
10.0% chance
22%
draw
17%
away win
Win probability: home 60%, draw 22%, away 17%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Leeds clear favourites to beat Ipswich at home in the Premier League on Saturday 5 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives Leeds a 60% chance of winning, puts the draw at 22% and gives Ipswich 17%.

GossipBall expects 2.1 goals from Leeds and 1.0 from Ipswich, so goals look likely: there is a 59% chance of three or more goals and a 57% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Leeds keep a clean sheet in 36% of outcomes, Ipswich in 13%.

Leeds are 9th in the table with 14 points from 10 games; Ipswich are 14th with 11. In their last five league games Leeds took 5 points (LDDLW) and Ipswich took 5 (WLDDL). This season Leeds average 1.31 expected goals (xG) for and 1.24 against per game; Ipswich average 1.33 for and 1.94 against.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
5
4
2
<1
<1
1
9
11
5
2
<1
2
10
10
5
2
<1
3
7
7
3
1
<1
4
3
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<1
<1
5
1
1
<1
<1
Rows: Leeds goalsColumns: Ipswich goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–110.5%
2–110.0%
2–09.7%
1–08.6%
3–16.8%
3–06.6%
1 or more goals
95%
2 or more goals
82%
3 or more goals
59%
4 or more goals
37%
5 or more goals
20%
Both teams score
57%

GossipBall expects 3.1 goals in total: 2.05 for Leeds and 1.03 for Ipswich.

Winning margin

Explained
Leeds by 3
11%
Leeds by 2
19%
Leeds by 1
23%
Draw
22%
Ipswich by 3
1%
Ipswich by 2
5%
Ipswich by 1
11%

Each team's goals

Explained
Leeds expected goals2.05
Ipswich expected goals1.03
Leeds keep a clean sheet36%
Ipswich keep a clean sheet13%
Leeds win without conceding30%
Ipswich win without conceding7%
Leeds score 2 or more61%
Ipswich score 2 or more27%

Recent form

Leeds
W v Tottenham1–0 · 7 Nov
L @ Bournemouth0–2 · 31 Oct
D @ Sunderland0–0 · 25 Oct
D v Manchester United1–1 · 18 Oct
L @ Arsenal1–2 · 10 Oct
Ipswich
L v Bournemouth1–2 · 8 Nov
D @ Hull2–2 · 31 Oct
D v Nottingham Forest1–1 · 23 Oct
L @ Manchester City2–3 · 17 Oct
W v Fulham2–1 · 10 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.

Season averages per game

LEEIPS
1.00
Goals
1.50
0.80
Conceded
2.00
1.31
xG
1.33
1.24
xG against
1.94
12.1
Shots
10.9
3.7
On target
3.9
4.3
Corners
2.8
1.80
Yellow cards
1.80
40%
Clean sheets
0%
50%
Both score
80%
20%
3+ goals
70%

Questions and answers

Who will win Leeds vs Ipswich?

GossipBall gives Leeds a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ipswich 17%. GossipBall makes Leeds clear favourites to beat Ipswich at home.

What is the predicted score for Leeds vs Ipswich?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.1 for Leeds, 1.0 for Ipswich). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (10%).

Will both teams score in Leeds vs Ipswich?

GossipBall gives a 57% chance that both Leeds and Ipswich score.

Will there be three or more goals in Leeds vs Ipswich?

There is a 59% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.1 goals in total (2.1 for Leeds, 1.0 for Ipswich).

When is Leeds vs Ipswich?

Kick-off is Saturday 5 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC