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Liverpool vs Leeds prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Liverpool favourites to beat Leeds at home in the Premier League on Saturday 12 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives Liverpool a 57% chance of winning, puts the draw at 24% and gives Leeds 20%.
GossipBall expects 1.9 goals from Liverpool and 1.0 from Leeds, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 56% chance of three or more goals and a 56% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Liverpool keep a clean sheet in 35% of outcomes, Leeds in 15%.
Liverpool are 4th in the table with 18 points from 10 games; Leeds are 9th with 14. In their last five league games Liverpool took 9 points (LWWLW) and Leeds took 5 (LDDLW). This season Liverpool average 1.58 expected goals (xG) for and 1.31 against per game; Leeds average 1.31 for and 1.24 against.
In 6 league meetings since 2021, Liverpool won 3, Leeds won 1 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 1 Jan 2026, was a 0–0 draw.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total: 1.90 for Liverpool and 1.04 for Leeds.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 6 league meetings since 2021, Liverpool won 3, Leeds won 1 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 1 Jan 2026, was a 0–0 draw.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Liverpool vs Leeds?
GossipBall gives Liverpool a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Leeds 20%. GossipBall makes Liverpool favourites to beat Leeds at home.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Leeds?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.9 for Liverpool, 1.0 for Leeds). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (10%).
Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Leeds?
GossipBall gives a 56% chance that both Liverpool and Leeds score.
Will there be three or more goals in Liverpool vs Leeds?
There is a 56% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total (1.9 for Liverpool, 1.0 for Leeds).
When is Liverpool vs Leeds?
Kick-off is Saturday 12 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Liverpool and Leeds?
In 6 league meetings since 2021, Liverpool won 3, Leeds won 1 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 1 Jan 2026, was a 0–0 draw.