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Liverpool vs Manchester United prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Liverpool favourites to beat Manchester United at home in the Premier League on Sunday 22 November 2026 at 16:30 UTC. It gives Liverpool a 53% chance of winning, puts the draw at 24% and gives Manchester United 23%.
GossipBall expects 1.9 goals from Liverpool and 1.2 from Manchester United, so goals look likely: there is a 61% chance of three or more goals and a 62% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Liverpool keep a clean sheet in 29% of outcomes, Manchester United in 14%.
Liverpool are 5th in the table with 15 points from 9 games; Manchester United are 17th with 7. In their last five league games Liverpool took 9 points (WLWWL) and Manchester United took 3 (DDDLL). This season Liverpool average 1.46 expected goals (xG) for and 1.17 against per game; Manchester United average 1.53 for and 1.66 against.
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Liverpool won 4, Manchester United won 3 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 3 May 2026, finished Manchester United 3–2 Liverpool, a win for Manchester United.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 8 November 2026, 00:31 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total: 1.94 for Liverpool and 1.23 for Manchester United.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 10 league meetings since 2021, Liverpool won 4, Manchester United won 3 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 3 May 2026, finished Manchester United 3–2 Liverpool, a win for Manchester United.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Liverpool vs Manchester United?
GossipBall gives Liverpool a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Manchester United 23%. GossipBall makes Liverpool favourites to beat Manchester United at home.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Manchester United?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.9 for Liverpool, 1.2 for Manchester United). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (8%).
Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Manchester United?
GossipBall gives a 62% chance that both Liverpool and Manchester United score.
Will there be three or more goals in Liverpool vs Manchester United?
There is a 61% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total (1.9 for Liverpool, 1.2 for Manchester United).
When is Liverpool vs Manchester United?
Kick-off is Sunday 22 November 2026 at 16:30 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Liverpool and Manchester United?
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Liverpool won 4, Manchester United won 3 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 3 May 2026, finished Manchester United 3–2 Liverpool, a win for Manchester United.