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Liverpool vs Sunderland prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Liverpool favourites to beat Sunderland at home in the Premier League on Wednesday 2 December 2026 at 19:30 UTC. It gives Liverpool a 59% chance of winning, puts the draw at 24% and gives Sunderland 18%.
GossipBall expects 1.9 goals from Liverpool and 1.0 from Sunderland, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 55% chance of three or more goals and a 54% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Liverpool keep a clean sheet in 38% of outcomes, Sunderland in 15%.
Liverpool are 4th in the table with 18 points from 10 games; Sunderland are 19th with 8. In their last five league games Liverpool took 9 points (LWWLW) and Sunderland took 4 (LLDLW). This season Liverpool average 1.58 expected goals (xG) for and 1.31 against per game; Sunderland average 1.56 for and 1.64 against.
In 2 league meetings since 2025, Liverpool won 1, Sunderland won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 11 Feb 2026, finished Sunderland 0–1 Liverpool, a win for Liverpool.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total: 1.92 for Liverpool and 0.96 for Sunderland.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 2 league meetings since 2025, Liverpool won 1, Sunderland won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 11 Feb 2026, finished Sunderland 0–1 Liverpool, a win for Liverpool.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Liverpool vs Sunderland?
GossipBall gives Liverpool a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sunderland 18%. GossipBall makes Liverpool favourites to beat Sunderland at home.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Sunderland?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.9 for Liverpool, 1.0 for Sunderland). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (11%), 2–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%).
Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Sunderland?
GossipBall gives a 54% chance that both Liverpool and Sunderland score.
Will there be three or more goals in Liverpool vs Sunderland?
There is a 55% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total (1.9 for Liverpool, 1.0 for Sunderland).
When is Liverpool vs Sunderland?
Kick-off is Wednesday 2 December 2026 at 19:30 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Liverpool and Sunderland?
In 2 league meetings since 2025, Liverpool won 1, Sunderland won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 11 Feb 2026, finished Sunderland 0–1 Liverpool, a win for Liverpool.