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Manchester City vs Leeds prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Manchester City clear favourites to beat Leeds at home in the Premier League on Wednesday 2 December 2026 at 19:30 UTC. It gives Manchester City a 65% chance of winning, puts the draw at 21% and gives Leeds 14%.
GossipBall expects 2.1 goals from Manchester City and 0.9 from Leeds, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 56% chance of three or more goals and a 51% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Manchester City keep a clean sheet in 42% of outcomes, Leeds in 12%.
Manchester City are 3rd in the table with 21 points from 10 games; Leeds are 9th with 14. In their last five league games Manchester City took 6 points (WWLLL) and Leeds took 5 (LDDLW). This season Manchester City average 2.04 expected goals (xG) for and 1.25 against per game; Leeds average 1.31 for and 1.24 against.
In 6 league meetings since 2021, Manchester City won 6, Leeds won 0 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 28 Feb 2026, finished Leeds 0–1 Manchester City, a win for Manchester City.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 2–0 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total: 2.08 for Manchester City and 0.86 for Leeds.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 6 league meetings since 2021, Manchester City won 6, Leeds won 0 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 28 Feb 2026, finished Leeds 0–1 Manchester City, a win for Manchester City.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Manchester City vs Leeds?
GossipBall gives Manchester City a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Leeds 14%. GossipBall makes Manchester City clear favourites to beat Leeds at home.
What is the predicted score for Manchester City vs Leeds?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.1 for Manchester City, 0.9 for Leeds). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 2–0 (11%), 1–1 (10%), 1–0 (10%).
Will both teams score in Manchester City vs Leeds?
GossipBall gives a 51% chance that both Manchester City and Leeds score.
Will there be three or more goals in Manchester City vs Leeds?
There is a 56% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total (2.1 for Manchester City, 0.9 for Leeds).
When is Manchester City vs Leeds?
Kick-off is Wednesday 2 December 2026 at 19:30 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Manchester City and Leeds?
In 6 league meetings since 2021, Manchester City won 6, Leeds won 0 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 28 Feb 2026, finished Leeds 0–1 Manchester City, a win for Manchester City.