Nottingham Forest vs Brighton prediction
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall sees Nottingham Forest against Brighton as too close to call in the Premier League on Saturday 5 December 2026 at 17:30 UTC. It gives Nottingham Forest a 36% chance of winning, puts the draw at 28% and gives Brighton 37%.
GossipBall expects 1.3 goals from Nottingham Forest and 1.4 from Brighton, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 51% chance of three or more goals and a 56% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Nottingham Forest keep a clean sheet in 26% of outcomes, Brighton in 26%.
Nottingham Forest are 16th in the table with 9 points from 10 games; Brighton are 2nd with 22. In their last five league games Nottingham Forest took 4 points (LLDLW) and Brighton took 12 (WWLWW). This season Nottingham Forest average 1.57 expected goals (xG) for and 1.10 against per game; Brighton average 1.93 for and 1.36 against.
In 8 league meetings since 2022, Nottingham Forest won 2, Brighton won 4 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 1 Mar 2026, finished Brighton 2–1 Nottingham Forest, a win for Brighton.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total: 1.35 for Nottingham Forest and 1.37 for Brighton.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 8 league meetings since 2022, Nottingham Forest won 2, Brighton won 4 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 1 Mar 2026, finished Brighton 2–1 Nottingham Forest, a win for Brighton.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Brighton?
GossipBall gives Nottingham Forest a 36% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Brighton 37%. GossipBall sees Nottingham Forest against Brighton as too close to call.
What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs Brighton?
GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.3 for Nottingham Forest, 1.4 for Brighton). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (13%), 1–2 (8%), 2–1 (8%).
Will both teams score in Nottingham Forest vs Brighton?
GossipBall gives a 56% chance that both Nottingham Forest and Brighton score.
Will there be three or more goals in Nottingham Forest vs Brighton?
There is a 51% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total (1.3 for Nottingham Forest, 1.4 for Brighton).
When is Nottingham Forest vs Brighton?
Kick-off is Saturday 5 December 2026 at 17:30 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Nottingham Forest and Brighton?
In 8 league meetings since 2022, Nottingham Forest won 2, Brighton won 4 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 1 Mar 2026, finished Brighton 2–1 Nottingham Forest, a win for Brighton.