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Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Nottingham Forest slight favourites to beat Chelsea at home in the Premier League on Friday 27 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC. It gives Nottingham Forest a 39% chance of winning, puts the draw at 28% and gives Chelsea 34%.
GossipBall expects 1.4 goals from Nottingham Forest and 1.3 from Chelsea, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 52% chance of three or more goals and a 57% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Nottingham Forest keep a clean sheet in 27% of outcomes, Chelsea in 24%.
Nottingham Forest are 16th in the table with 9 points from 10 games; Chelsea are 5th with 16. In their last five league games Nottingham Forest took 4 points (LLDLW) and Chelsea took 9 (WWLWL). This season Nottingham Forest average 1.57 expected goals (xG) for and 1.10 against per game; Chelsea average 1.35 for and 1.50 against.
In 8 league meetings since 2023, Nottingham Forest won 2, Chelsea won 3 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 4 May 2026, finished Chelsea 1–3 Nottingham Forest, a win for Nottingham Forest.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.8 goals in total: 1.43 for Nottingham Forest and 1.32 for Chelsea.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 8 league meetings since 2023, Nottingham Forest won 2, Chelsea won 3 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 4 May 2026, finished Chelsea 1–3 Nottingham Forest, a win for Nottingham Forest.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea?
GossipBall gives Nottingham Forest a 39% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Chelsea 34%. GossipBall makes Nottingham Forest slight favourites to beat Chelsea at home.
What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.4 for Nottingham Forest, 1.3 for Chelsea). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (13%), 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (8%).
Will both teams score in Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea?
GossipBall gives a 57% chance that both Nottingham Forest and Chelsea score.
Will there be three or more goals in Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea?
There is a 52% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.8 goals in total (1.4 for Nottingham Forest, 1.3 for Chelsea).
When is Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea?
Kick-off is Friday 27 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Nottingham Forest and Chelsea?
In 8 league meetings since 2023, Nottingham Forest won 2, Chelsea won 3 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 4 May 2026, finished Chelsea 1–3 Nottingham Forest, a win for Nottingham Forest.