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Tottenham vs Arsenal prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Arsenal favourites to beat Tottenham away from home in the Premier League on Sunday 6 December 2026 at 16:30 UTC. It gives Tottenham a 16% chance of winning, puts the draw at 25% and gives Arsenal 59%.
GossipBall expects 0.8 goals from Tottenham and 1.8 from Arsenal, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 49% chance of three or more goals and a 48% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Tottenham keep a clean sheet in 17% of outcomes, Arsenal in 43%.
Tottenham are 11th in the table with 12 points from 10 games; Arsenal are 1st with 27. In their last five league games Tottenham took 10 points (DWWWL) and Arsenal took 15 (WWWWW). This season Tottenham average 1.24 expected goals (xG) for and 1.20 against per game; Arsenal average 1.61 for and 0.76 against.
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Tottenham won 1, Arsenal won 8 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 22 Feb 2026, finished Tottenham 1–4 Arsenal, a win for Arsenal.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 0–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total: 0.84 for Tottenham and 1.78 for Arsenal.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 10 league meetings since 2021, Tottenham won 1, Arsenal won 8 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 22 Feb 2026, finished Tottenham 1–4 Arsenal, a win for Arsenal.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Tottenham vs Arsenal?
GossipBall gives Tottenham a 16% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Arsenal 59%. GossipBall makes Arsenal favourites to beat Tottenham away from home.
What is the predicted score for Tottenham vs Arsenal?
GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (0.8 for Tottenham, 1.8 for Arsenal). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 0–1 (12%), 1–1 (12%), 0–2 (12%).
Will both teams score in Tottenham vs Arsenal?
GossipBall gives a 48% chance that both Tottenham and Arsenal score.
Will there be three or more goals in Tottenham vs Arsenal?
There is a 49% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total (0.8 for Tottenham, 1.8 for Arsenal).
When is Tottenham vs Arsenal?
Kick-off is Sunday 6 December 2026 at 16:30 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Tottenham and Arsenal?
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Tottenham won 1, Arsenal won 8 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 22 Feb 2026, finished Tottenham 1–4 Arsenal, a win for Arsenal.