Premier LeagueMatchday 13Thursday 3 December 2026 ·

Tottenham vs Fulham prediction

41%
home win
predicted score
2–1
8.8% chance
28%
draw
32%
away win
Win probability: home 41%, draw 28%, away 32%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Tottenham slight favourites to beat Fulham at home in the Premier League on Thursday 3 December 2026 at 20:00 UTC. It gives Tottenham a 41% chance of winning, puts the draw at 28% and gives Fulham 32%.

GossipBall expects 1.4 goals from Tottenham and 1.2 from Fulham, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 50% chance of three or more goals and a 55% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Tottenham keep a clean sheet in 29% of outcomes, Fulham in 24%.

Tottenham are 11th in the table with 12 points from 10 games; Fulham are 15th with 10. In their last five league games Tottenham took 10 points (DWWWL) and Fulham took 8 (LWWDD). This season Tottenham average 1.24 expected goals (xG) for and 1.20 against per game; Fulham average 1.44 for and 1.34 against.

In 8 league meetings since 2022, Tottenham won 3, Fulham won 4 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 1 Mar 2026, finished Fulham 2–1 Tottenham, a win for Fulham.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
8
7
5
2
<1
<1
1
9
13
8
3
<1
<1
2
7
9
5
2
<1
<1
3
3
4
3
1
<1
4
1
2
<1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Tottenham goalsColumns: Fulham goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–113.2%
2–18.8%
1–08.8%
0–07.8%
1–27.6%
0–17.5%
1 or more goals
92%
2 or more goals
76%
3 or more goals
50%
4 or more goals
28%
5 or more goals
14%
Both teams score
55%

GossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total: 1.44 for Tottenham and 1.25 for Fulham.

Winning margin

Explained
Tottenham by 3
5%
Tottenham by 2
12%
Tottenham by 1
21%
Draw
28%
Fulham by 3
3%
Fulham by 2
9%
Fulham by 1
18%

Each team's goals

Explained
Tottenham expected goals1.44
Fulham expected goals1.25
Tottenham keep a clean sheet29%
Fulham keep a clean sheet24%
Tottenham win without conceding21%
Fulham win without conceding16%
Tottenham score 2 or more42%
Fulham score 2 or more35%

Recent form

Tottenham
L @ Leeds0–1 · 7 Nov
W v Crystal Palace2–0 · 31 Oct
W @ Chelsea2–0 · 24 Oct
W v Coventry3–1 · 19 Oct
D @ Manchester United1–1 · 10 Oct
Fulham
D v Newcastle United1–1 · 7 Nov
D @ Aston Villa1–1 · 31 Oct
W @ Coventry1–0 · 24 Oct
W v Hull1–0 · 17 Oct
L @ Ipswich1–2 · 10 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 8 league meetings since 2022, Tottenham won 3, Fulham won 4 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 1 Mar 2026, finished Fulham 2–1 Tottenham, a win for Fulham.

Fulham 2–1 Tottenham1 Mar 2026
Tottenham 1–2 Fulham29 Nov 2025
Fulham 2–0 Tottenham16 Mar 2025
Tottenham 1–1 Fulham1 Dec 2024
Fulham 3–0 Tottenham16 Mar 2024
Tottenham 2–0 Fulham23 Oct 2023

Season averages per game

TOTFUL
1.00
Goals
1.00
1.10
Conceded
1.20
1.24
xG
1.44
1.20
xG against
1.34
15.5
Shots
14.0
4.4
On target
4.6
7.5
Corners
5.9
1.50
Yellow cards
1.90
40%
Clean sheets
30%
30%
Both score
60%
30%
3+ goals
30%

Questions and answers

Who will win Tottenham vs Fulham?

GossipBall gives Tottenham a 41% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Fulham 32%. GossipBall makes Tottenham slight favourites to beat Fulham at home.

What is the predicted score for Tottenham vs Fulham?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.4 for Tottenham, 1.2 for Fulham). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (13%), 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (9%).

Will both teams score in Tottenham vs Fulham?

GossipBall gives a 55% chance that both Tottenham and Fulham score.

Will there be three or more goals in Tottenham vs Fulham?

There is a 50% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total (1.4 for Tottenham, 1.2 for Fulham).

When is Tottenham vs Fulham?

Kick-off is Thursday 3 December 2026 at 20:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Tottenham and Fulham?

In 8 league meetings since 2022, Tottenham won 3, Fulham won 4 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 1 Mar 2026, finished Fulham 2–1 Tottenham, a win for Fulham.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC