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Academico Viseu vs Arouca prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Academico Viseu favourites to beat Arouca at home in the Primeira Liga on Friday 11 December 2026 at 20:15 UTC. It gives Academico Viseu a 46% chance of winning, puts the draw at 25% and gives Arouca 30%.
GossipBall expects 1.5 goals from Academico Viseu and 1.2 from Arouca, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 50% chance of three or more goals and a 54% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Academico Viseu keep a clean sheet in 31% of outcomes, Arouca in 22%.
Academico Viseu are 6th in the table with 20 points from 11 games; Arouca are 5th with 20. In their last five league games Academico Viseu took 12 points (WWWWL) and Arouca took 10 (DWWWL). This season Academico Viseu average 1.11 expected goals (xG) for and 1.61 against per game; Arouca average 1.13 for and 1.15 against.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total: 1.52 for Academico Viseu and 1.17 for Arouca.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Academico Viseu vs Arouca?
GossipBall gives Academico Viseu a 46% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Arouca 30%. GossipBall makes Academico Viseu favourites to beat Arouca at home.
What is the predicted score for Academico Viseu vs Arouca?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.5 for Academico Viseu, 1.2 for Arouca). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (11%), 2–1 (9%).
Will both teams score in Academico Viseu vs Arouca?
GossipBall gives a 54% chance that both Academico Viseu and Arouca score.
Will there be three or more goals in Academico Viseu vs Arouca?
There is a 50% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total (1.5 for Academico Viseu, 1.2 for Arouca).
When is Academico Viseu vs Arouca?
Kick-off is Friday 11 December 2026 at 20:15 UTC.