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Estrela vs Gil Vicente prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Gil Vicente slight favourites to beat Estrela away from home in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 6 December 2026 at 15:30 UTC. It gives Estrela a 31% chance of winning, puts the draw at 27% and gives Gil Vicente 42%.
GossipBall expects 1.1 goals from Estrela and 1.3 from Gil Vicente, so a tight, low-scoring game is slightly more likely: there is a 41% chance of three or more goals and a 47% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Estrela keep a clean sheet in 28% of outcomes, Gil Vicente in 35%.
Estrela are 12th in the table with 10 points from 11 games; Gil Vicente are 7th with 18. In their last five league games Estrela took 0 points (LLLLL) and Gil Vicente took 10 (WWLDW). This season Estrela average 1.25 expected goals (xG) for and 1.31 against per game; Gil Vicente average 1.17 for and 0.92 against.
In 6 league meetings since 2024, Estrela won 1, Gil Vicente won 2 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 8 Mar 2026, was a 2–2 draw.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 0–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.3 goals in total: 1.05 for Estrela and 1.27 for Gil Vicente.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 6 league meetings since 2024, Estrela won 1, Gil Vicente won 2 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 8 Mar 2026, was a 2–2 draw.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Estrela vs Gil Vicente?
GossipBall gives Estrela a 31% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Gil Vicente 42%. GossipBall makes Gil Vicente slight favourites to beat Estrela away from home.
What is the predicted score for Estrela vs Gil Vicente?
GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.1 for Estrela, 1.3 for Gil Vicente). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 0–1 (13%), 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%).
Will both teams score in Estrela vs Gil Vicente?
GossipBall gives a 47% chance that both Estrela and Gil Vicente score.
Will there be three or more goals in Estrela vs Gil Vicente?
There is a 41% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.3 goals in total (1.1 for Estrela, 1.3 for Gil Vicente).
When is Estrela vs Gil Vicente?
Kick-off is Sunday 6 December 2026 at 15:30 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Estrela and Gil Vicente?
In 6 league meetings since 2024, Estrela won 1, Gil Vicente won 2 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 8 Mar 2026, was a 2–2 draw.