Primeira LigaMatchday 12Sunday 29 November 2026 ·

Gil Vicente vs Estoril prediction

49%
home win
predicted score
2–1
9.5% chance
24%
draw
26%
away win
Win probability: home 49%, draw 24%, away 26%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Gil Vicente favourites to beat Estoril at home in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 29 November 2026 at 18:00 UTC. It gives Gil Vicente a 49% chance of winning, puts the draw at 24% and gives Estoril 26%.

GossipBall expects 1.6 goals from Gil Vicente and 1.1 from Estoril, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 51% chance of three or more goals and a 53% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Gil Vicente keep a clean sheet in 33% of outcomes, Estoril in 20%.

Gil Vicente are 7th in the table with 18 points from 11 games; Estoril are 18th with 2. In their last five league games Gil Vicente took 10 points (WWLDW) and Estoril took 0 (LLLLL). This season Gil Vicente average 1.17 expected goals (xG) for and 0.92 against per game; Estoril average 1.01 for and 1.65 against.

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Gil Vicente won 3, Estoril won 4 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 22 Feb 2026, finished Estoril 3–1 Gil Vicente, a win for Estoril.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
6
8
4
1
<1
1
11
11
7
2
<1
<1
2
9
9
5
2
<1
<1
3
5
5
3
1
<1
4
2
2
1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Gil Vicente goalsColumns: Estoril goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–111.4%
1–010.9%
2–19.5%
2–08.6%
0–17.6%
1–26.5%
1 or more goals
94%
2 or more goals
75%
3 or more goals
51%
4 or more goals
29%
5 or more goals
14%
Both teams score
53%

GossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total: 1.62 for Gil Vicente and 1.11 for Estoril.

Winning margin

Explained
Gil Vicente by 3
7%
Gil Vicente by 2
15%
Gil Vicente by 1
24%
Draw
24%
Estoril by 3
2%
Estoril by 2
7%
Estoril by 1
16%

Each team's goals

Explained
Gil Vicente expected goals1.62
Estoril expected goals1.11
Gil Vicente keep a clean sheet33%
Estoril keep a clean sheet20%
Gil Vicente win without conceding27%
Estoril win without conceding14%
Gil Vicente score 2 or more48%
Estoril score 2 or more30%

Recent form

Gil Vicente
W @ Santa Clara2–1 · 8 Nov
D v Vitória SC0–0 · 2 Nov
L v Porto0–1 · 24 Oct
W @ Sp Braga2–1 · 19 Oct
W @ Moreirense1–0 · 9 Oct
Estoril
L @ Porto0–4 · 31 Oct
L v Moreirense1–3 · 25 Oct
L @ Academico Viseu1–2 · 10 Oct
L v Casa Pia1–2 · 20 Sep
L @ Sp Braga0–1 · 14 Sep

Head to head

Full record →

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Gil Vicente won 3, Estoril won 4 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 22 Feb 2026, finished Estoril 3–1 Gil Vicente, a win for Estoril.

Estoril 3–1 Gil Vicente22 Feb 2026
Gil Vicente 2–0 Estoril21 Sep 2025
Gil Vicente 1–2 Estoril1 Feb 2025
Estoril 0–0 Gil Vicente25 Aug 2024
Estoril 1–3 Gil Vicente18 Feb 2024
Gil Vicente 5–3 Estoril17 Sep 2023

Season averages per game

GILEST
0.91
Goals
0.50
0.73
Conceded
1.90
1.17
xG
1.01
0.92
xG against
1.65
13.4
Shots
13.7
3.4
On target
4.7
3.6
Corners
4.5
1.91
Yellow cards
2.20
46%
Clean sheets
10%
36%
Both score
50%
27%
3+ goals
50%

Questions and answers

Who will win Gil Vicente vs Estoril?

GossipBall gives Gil Vicente a 49% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Estoril 26%. GossipBall makes Gil Vicente favourites to beat Estoril at home.

What is the predicted score for Gil Vicente vs Estoril?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.6 for Gil Vicente, 1.1 for Estoril). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (11%), 1–0 (11%), 2–1 (9%).

Will both teams score in Gil Vicente vs Estoril?

GossipBall gives a 53% chance that both Gil Vicente and Estoril score.

Will there be three or more goals in Gil Vicente vs Estoril?

There is a 51% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total (1.6 for Gil Vicente, 1.1 for Estoril).

When is Gil Vicente vs Estoril?

Kick-off is Sunday 29 November 2026 at 18:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Gil Vicente and Estoril?

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Gil Vicente won 3, Estoril won 4 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 22 Feb 2026, finished Estoril 3–1 Gil Vicente, a win for Estoril.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC