Primeira LigaMatchday 14Saturday 12 December 2026 ·

Gil Vicente vs Sporting CP prediction

16%
home win
predicted score
1–2
9.8% chance
21%
draw
63%
away win
Win probability: home 16%, draw 21%, away 63%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Sporting CP clear favourites to beat Gil Vicente away from home in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 12 December 2026 at 20:30 UTC. It gives Gil Vicente a 16% chance of winning, puts the draw at 21% and gives Sporting CP 63%.

GossipBall expects 0.8 goals from Gil Vicente and 1.9 from Sporting CP, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 53% chance of three or more goals and a 49% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Gil Vicente keep a clean sheet in 14% of outcomes, Sporting CP in 43%.

Gil Vicente are 7th in the table with 18 points from 11 games; Sporting CP are 3rd with 24. In their last five league games Gil Vicente took 10 points (WWLDW) and Sporting CP took 10 (DWLWW). This season Gil Vicente average 1.17 expected goals (xG) for and 0.92 against per game; Sporting CP average 1.99 for and 0.78 against.

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Gil Vicente won 0, Sporting CP won 7 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 16 May 2026, finished Sporting CP 3–0 Gil Vicente, a win for Sporting CP.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
6
12
12
8
4
1
1
5
10
10
6
3
1
2
2
4
4
3
1
<1
3
<1
1
1
<1
<1
<1
4
<1
<1
<1
<1
5
Rows: Gil Vicente goalsColumns: Sporting CP goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 0–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

0–112.2%
0–211.6%
1–19.9%
1–29.8%
0–37.5%
1–36.3%
1 or more goals
94%
2 or more goals
76%
3 or more goals
53%
4 or more goals
30%
5 or more goals
15%
Both teams score
49%

GossipBall expects 2.8 goals in total: 0.85 for Gil Vicente and 1.94 for Sporting CP.

Winning margin

Explained
Gil Vicente by 3
1%
Gil Vicente by 2
4%
Gil Vicente by 1
11%
Draw
21%
Sporting CP by 3
11%
Sporting CP by 2
19%
Sporting CP by 1
25%

Each team's goals

Explained
Gil Vicente expected goals0.85
Sporting CP expected goals1.94
Gil Vicente keep a clean sheet14%
Sporting CP keep a clean sheet43%
Gil Vicente win without conceding8%
Sporting CP win without conceding37%
Gil Vicente score 2 or more21%
Sporting CP score 2 or more58%

Recent form

Gil Vicente
W @ Santa Clara2–1 · 8 Nov
D v Vitória SC0–0 · 2 Nov
L v Porto0–1 · 24 Oct
W @ Sp Braga2–1 · 19 Oct
W @ Moreirense1–0 · 9 Oct
Sporting CP
W v Moreirense1–0 · 7 Nov
W @ Casa Pia2–0 · 30 Oct
L v Academico Viseu1–2 · 25 Oct
W @ Sp Braga3–1 · 9 Oct
D v Arouca2–2 · 19 Sep

Head to head

Full record →

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Gil Vicente won 0, Sporting CP won 7 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 16 May 2026, finished Sporting CP 3–0 Gil Vicente, a win for Sporting CP.

Sporting CP 3–0 Gil Vicente16 May 2026
Gil Vicente 1–1 Sporting CP2 Jan 2026
Sporting CP 2–1 Gil Vicente4 May 2025
Gil Vicente 0–0 Sporting CP22 Dec 2024
Gil Vicente 0–4 Sporting CP12 Apr 2024
Sporting CP 3–1 Gil Vicente4 Dec 2023

Season averages per game

GILSPO
0.91
Goals
2.18
0.73
Conceded
1.00
1.17
xG
1.99
0.92
xG against
0.78
13.4
Shots
15.7
3.4
On target
5.8
3.6
Corners
5.4
1.91
Yellow cards
2.36
46%
Clean sheets
36%
36%
Both score
64%
27%
3+ goals
64%

Questions and answers

Who will win Gil Vicente vs Sporting CP?

GossipBall gives Gil Vicente a 16% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sporting CP 63%. GossipBall makes Sporting CP clear favourites to beat Gil Vicente away from home.

What is the predicted score for Gil Vicente vs Sporting CP?

GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (0.8 for Gil Vicente, 1.9 for Sporting CP). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 0–1 (12%), 0–2 (12%), 1–1 (10%).

Will both teams score in Gil Vicente vs Sporting CP?

GossipBall gives a 49% chance that both Gil Vicente and Sporting CP score.

Will there be three or more goals in Gil Vicente vs Sporting CP?

There is a 53% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.8 goals in total (0.8 for Gil Vicente, 1.9 for Sporting CP).

When is Gil Vicente vs Sporting CP?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 December 2026 at 20:30 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Gil Vicente and Sporting CP?

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Gil Vicente won 0, Sporting CP won 7 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 16 May 2026, finished Sporting CP 3–0 Gil Vicente, a win for Sporting CP.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC