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Moreirense vs Santa Clara prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall sees Moreirense against Santa Clara as too close to call in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 28 November 2026 at 15:30 UTC. It gives Moreirense a 34% chance of winning, puts the draw at 30% and gives Santa Clara 36%.
GossipBall expects 1.0 goals from Moreirense and 1.0 from Santa Clara, so a tight, low-scoring game is slightly more likely: there is a 32% chance of three or more goals and a 40% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 0–2. Moreirense keep a clean sheet in 36% of outcomes, Santa Clara in 38%.
Moreirense are 9th in the table with 14 points from 11 games; Santa Clara are 4th with 21. In their last five league games Moreirense took 7 points (DLWWL) and Santa Clara took 7 (DWLWL). This season Moreirense average 0.73 expected goals (xG) for and 1.67 against per game; Santa Clara average 1.20 for and 0.95 against.
In 6 league meetings since 2021, Moreirense won 3, Santa Clara won 1 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 24 Jan 2026, finished Moreirense 1–0 Santa Clara, a win for Moreirense.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 0–1 (14%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.0 goals in total: 0.98 for Moreirense and 1.02 for Santa Clara.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 6 league meetings since 2021, Moreirense won 3, Santa Clara won 1 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 24 Jan 2026, finished Moreirense 1–0 Santa Clara, a win for Moreirense.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Moreirense vs Santa Clara?
GossipBall gives Moreirense a 34% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Santa Clara 36%. GossipBall sees Moreirense against Santa Clara as too close to call.
What is the predicted score for Moreirense vs Santa Clara?
GossipBall's predicted score is 0–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.0 for Moreirense, 1.0 for Santa Clara). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 0–1 (14%), 1–0 (14%), 1–1 (13%).
Will both teams score in Moreirense vs Santa Clara?
GossipBall gives a 40% chance that both Moreirense and Santa Clara score.
Will there be three or more goals in Moreirense vs Santa Clara?
There is a 32% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.0 goals in total (1.0 for Moreirense, 1.0 for Santa Clara).
When is Moreirense vs Santa Clara?
Kick-off is Saturday 28 November 2026 at 15:30 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Moreirense and Santa Clara?
In 6 league meetings since 2021, Moreirense won 3, Santa Clara won 1 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 24 Jan 2026, finished Moreirense 1–0 Santa Clara, a win for Moreirense.