Santa Clara vs Porto prediction
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Porto favourites to beat Santa Clara away from home in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 5 December 2026 at 18:00 UTC. It gives Santa Clara a 17% chance of winning, puts the draw at 26% and gives Porto 57%.
GossipBall expects 0.6 goals from Santa Clara and 1.4 from Porto, so a tight, low-scoring game is slightly more likely: there is a 35% chance of three or more goals and a 36% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 0–2. Santa Clara keep a clean sheet in 24% of outcomes, Porto in 52%.
Santa Clara are 4th in the table with 21 points from 11 games; Porto are 1st with 33. In their last five league games Santa Clara took 7 points (DWLWL) and Porto took 15 (WWWWW). This season Santa Clara average 1.20 expected goals (xG) for and 0.95 against per game; Porto average 2.16 for and 0.79 against.
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Santa Clara won 0, Porto won 6 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 16 May 2026, finished Porto 1–0 Santa Clara, a win for Porto.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 0–1 (18%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.1 goals in total: 0.65 for Santa Clara and 1.45 for Porto.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 8 league meetings since 2021, Santa Clara won 0, Porto won 6 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 16 May 2026, finished Porto 1–0 Santa Clara, a win for Porto.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Santa Clara vs Porto?
GossipBall gives Santa Clara a 17% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Porto 57%. GossipBall makes Porto favourites to beat Santa Clara away from home.
What is the predicted score for Santa Clara vs Porto?
GossipBall's predicted score is 0–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (0.6 for Santa Clara, 1.4 for Porto). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 0–1 (18%), 0–2 (13%), 0–0 (12%).
Will both teams score in Santa Clara vs Porto?
GossipBall gives a 36% chance that both Santa Clara and Porto score.
Will there be three or more goals in Santa Clara vs Porto?
There is a 35% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.1 goals in total (0.6 for Santa Clara, 1.4 for Porto).
When is Santa Clara vs Porto?
Kick-off is Saturday 5 December 2026 at 18:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Santa Clara and Porto?
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Santa Clara won 0, Porto won 6 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 16 May 2026, finished Porto 1–0 Santa Clara, a win for Porto.