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Vitória SC vs Estrela prediction
Predict the score
How points workPlay the free GossipBall prediction game: points for the right result and the exact score, weekly leaderboards and private leagues with friends. No prizes, just bragging rights.
Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Vitória SC favourites to beat Estrela at home in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 28 November 2026 at 20:30 UTC. It gives Vitória SC a 55% chance of winning, puts the draw at 24% and gives Estrela 21%.
GossipBall expects 1.6 goals from Vitória SC and 0.9 from Estrela, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 47% chance of three or more goals and a 48% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Vitória SC keep a clean sheet in 40% of outcomes, Estrela in 19%.
Vitória SC are 14th in the table with 9 points from 11 games; Estrela are 12th with 10. In their last five league games Vitória SC took 5 points (DLWDL) and Estrela took 0 (LLLLL). This season Vitória SC average 1.43 expected goals (xG) for and 1.00 against per game; Estrela average 1.25 for and 1.31 against.
In 6 league meetings since 2023, Vitória SC won 5, Estrela won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 14 Feb 2026, finished Vitória SC 2–1 Estrela, a win for Vitória SC.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–0 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total: 1.65 for Vitória SC and 0.92 for Estrela.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 6 league meetings since 2023, Vitória SC won 5, Estrela won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 14 Feb 2026, finished Vitória SC 2–1 Estrela, a win for Vitória SC.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Vitória SC vs Estrela?
GossipBall gives Vitória SC a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Estrela 21%. GossipBall makes Vitória SC favourites to beat Estrela at home.
What is the predicted score for Vitória SC vs Estrela?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.6 for Vitória SC, 0.9 for Estrela). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–0 (13%), 1–1 (11%), 2–0 (10%).
Will both teams score in Vitória SC vs Estrela?
GossipBall gives a 48% chance that both Vitória SC and Estrela score.
Will there be three or more goals in Vitória SC vs Estrela?
There is a 47% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total (1.6 for Vitória SC, 0.9 for Estrela).
When is Vitória SC vs Estrela?
Kick-off is Saturday 28 November 2026 at 20:30 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Vitória SC and Estrela?
In 6 league meetings since 2023, Vitória SC won 5, Estrela won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 14 Feb 2026, finished Vitória SC 2–1 Estrela, a win for Vitória SC.