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Scottish PremiershipSaturday 7 November 2026 · Referee: R Lee

Dundee United vs Motherwell prediction

37%
home win
predicted score
2–1
8.2% chance
27%
draw
36%
away win
Win probability: home 37%, draw 27%, away 36%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall sees Dundee United against Motherwell as too close to call in the Scottish Premiership on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives Dundee United a 37% chance of winning, puts the draw at 27% and gives Motherwell 36%.

GossipBall expects 1.3 goals from Dundee United and 1.3 from Motherwell, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 49% chance of three or more goals and a 54% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Dundee United keep a clean sheet in 27% of outcomes, Motherwell in 27%.

Dundee United are 6th in the table with 16 points from 11 games; Motherwell are 9th with 12. In their last five league games Dundee United took 11 points (WWDWD) and Motherwell took 4 (LLLDW). This season Dundee United average 1.45 expected goals (xG) for and 1.42 against per game; Motherwell average 1.51 for and 1.51 against.

In 15 league meetings since 2021, Dundee United won 5, Motherwell won 8 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 2 Sep 2026, finished Motherwell 3–0 Dundee United, a win for Motherwell.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 6 November 2026, 15:02 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
7
9
6
3
<1
<1
1
9
13
8
4
1
<1
2
6
8
5
2
<1
<1
3
3
4
2
1
<1
4
<1
1
<1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Dundee United goalsColumns: Motherwell goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–112.8%
1–09.2%
0–19.1%
2–18.2%
1–28.2%
0–07.5%
1 or more goals
93%
2 or more goals
74%
3 or more goals
49%
4 or more goals
27%
5 or more goals
13%
Both teams score
54%

GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total: 1.32 for Dundee United and 1.31 for Motherwell.

Winning margin

Explained
Dundee United by 3
4%
Dundee United by 2
11%
Dundee United by 1
20%
Draw
27%
Motherwell by 3
4%
Motherwell by 2
11%
Motherwell by 1
20%

Each team's goals

Explained
Dundee United expected goals1.32
Motherwell expected goals1.31
Dundee United keep a clean sheet27%
Motherwell keep a clean sheet27%
Dundee United win without conceding20%
Motherwell win without conceding19%
Dundee United score 2 or more38%
Motherwell score 2 or more38%

Recent form

Dundee United
D @ Celtic2–2 · 28 Oct
W v Aberdeen3–2 · 24 Oct
D @ St Johnstone1–1 · 17 Oct
W v Hibernian1–0 · 10 Oct
W @ St Mirren3–0 · 19 Sep
Motherwell
W v St Mirren1–0 · 31 Oct
D @ St Johnstone2–2 · 28 Oct
L v Hearts0–2 · 25 Oct
L @ Kilmarnock2–3 · 17 Oct
L v Celtic0–2 · 11 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 15 league meetings since 2021, Dundee United won 5, Motherwell won 8 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 2 Sep 2026, finished Motherwell 3–0 Dundee United, a win for Motherwell.

Motherwell 3–0 Dundee United2 Sep 2026
Motherwell 2–0 Dundee United28 Feb 2026
Dundee United 0–0 Motherwell13 Dec 2025
Motherwell 2–0 Dundee United29 Oct 2025
Dundee United 1–0 Motherwell22 Feb 2025
Motherwell 4–3 Dundee United14 Dec 2024

Season averages per game

DUUMOT
1.45
Goals
1.17
1.45
Conceded
1.67
1.45
xG
1.51
1.42
xG against
1.51
15.2
Shots
14.2
5.5
On target
4.8
5.9
Corners
5.3
2.27
Yellow cards
1.75
27%
Clean sheets
25%
46%
Both score
42%
55%
3+ goals
58%

Questions and answers

Who will win Dundee United vs Motherwell?

GossipBall gives Dundee United a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Motherwell 36%. GossipBall sees Dundee United against Motherwell as too close to call.

What is the predicted score for Dundee United vs Motherwell?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.3 for Dundee United, 1.3 for Motherwell). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (9%), 0–1 (9%).

Will both teams score in Dundee United vs Motherwell?

GossipBall gives a 54% chance that both Dundee United and Motherwell score.

Will there be three or more goals in Dundee United vs Motherwell?

There is a 49% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total (1.3 for Dundee United, 1.3 for Motherwell).

When is Dundee United vs Motherwell?

Kick-off is Saturday 7 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Dundee United and Motherwell?

In 15 league meetings since 2021, Dundee United won 5, Motherwell won 8 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 2 Sep 2026, finished Motherwell 3–0 Dundee United, a win for Motherwell.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 6 November 2026, 15:02 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·