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Bologna vs Roma prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Roma favourites to beat Bologna away from home in Serie A on Friday 4 December 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It gives Bologna a 27% chance of winning, puts the draw at 26% and gives Roma 47%.
GossipBall expects 1.1 goals from Bologna and 1.6 from Roma, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 50% chance of three or more goals and a 53% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Bologna keep a clean sheet in 21% of outcomes, Roma in 33%.
Bologna are 8th in the table with 17 points from 11 games; Roma are 3rd with 27. In their last five league games Bologna took 12 points (LWWWW) and Roma took 13 (WDWWW). This season Bologna average 1.68 expected goals (xG) for and 1.36 against per game; Roma average 2.39 for and 1.27 against.
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Bologna won 4, Roma won 3 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 25 Apr 2026, finished Bologna 0–2 Roma, a win for Roma.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total: 1.12 for Bologna and 1.56 for Roma.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 10 league meetings since 2021, Bologna won 4, Roma won 3 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 25 Apr 2026, finished Bologna 0–2 Roma, a win for Roma.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Bologna vs Roma?
GossipBall gives Bologna a 27% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Roma 47%. GossipBall makes Roma favourites to beat Bologna away from home.
What is the predicted score for Bologna vs Roma?
GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.1 for Bologna, 1.6 for Roma). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (10%), 1–2 (9%).
Will both teams score in Bologna vs Roma?
GossipBall gives a 53% chance that both Bologna and Roma score.
Will there be three or more goals in Bologna vs Roma?
There is a 50% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total (1.1 for Bologna, 1.6 for Roma).
When is Bologna vs Roma?
Kick-off is Friday 4 December 2026 at 19:45 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Bologna and Roma?
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Bologna won 4, Roma won 3 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 25 Apr 2026, finished Bologna 0–2 Roma, a win for Roma.