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Cagliari vs Venezia prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Cagliari slight favourites to beat Venezia at home in Serie A on Saturday 12 December 2026 at 14:00 UTC. It gives Cagliari a 42% chance of winning, puts the draw at 27% and gives Venezia 30%.
GossipBall expects 1.4 goals from Cagliari and 1.1 from Venezia, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 46% chance of three or more goals and a 51% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Cagliari keep a clean sheet in 32% of outcomes, Venezia in 25%.
Cagliari are 9th in the table with 16 points from 11 games; Venezia are 19th with 6. In their last five league games Cagliari took 3 points (LLLLW) and Venezia took 6 (WLLLW). This season Cagliari average 1.20 expected goals (xG) for and 1.83 against per game; Venezia average 1.48 for and 1.95 against.
In 4 league meetings since 2021, Cagliari won 1, Venezia won 1 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 18 May 2025, finished Cagliari 3–0 Venezia, a win for Cagliari.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.5 goals in total: 1.39 for Cagliari and 1.13 for Venezia.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 4 league meetings since 2021, Cagliari won 1, Venezia won 1 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 18 May 2025, finished Cagliari 3–0 Venezia, a win for Cagliari.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Cagliari vs Venezia?
GossipBall gives Cagliari a 42% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Venezia 30%. GossipBall makes Cagliari slight favourites to beat Venezia at home.
What is the predicted score for Cagliari vs Venezia?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.4 for Cagliari, 1.1 for Venezia). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%), 0–1 (9%).
Will both teams score in Cagliari vs Venezia?
GossipBall gives a 51% chance that both Cagliari and Venezia score.
Will there be three or more goals in Cagliari vs Venezia?
There is a 46% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.5 goals in total (1.4 for Cagliari, 1.1 for Venezia).
When is Cagliari vs Venezia?
Kick-off is Saturday 12 December 2026 at 14:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Cagliari and Venezia?
In 4 league meetings since 2021, Cagliari won 1, Venezia won 1 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 18 May 2025, finished Cagliari 3–0 Venezia, a win for Cagliari.