Serie AMatchday 14Saturday 5 December 2026 ·

Frosinone vs Inter prediction

13%
home win
predicted score
1–3
8.0% chance
15%
draw
72%
away win
Win probability: home 13%, draw 15%, away 72%

Predict the score

How points work

Play the free GossipBall prediction game: points for the right result and the exact score, weekly leaderboards and private leagues with friends. No prizes, just bragging rights.

Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Inter clear favourites to beat Frosinone away from home in Serie A on Saturday 5 December 2026 at 17:00 UTC. It gives Frosinone a 13% chance of winning, puts the draw at 15% and gives Inter 72%.

GossipBall expects 1.3 goals from Frosinone and 2.9 from Inter, so goals look likely: there is a 79% chance of three or more goals and a 68% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–3. Frosinone keep a clean sheet in 5% of outcomes, Inter in 28%.

Frosinone are 6th in the table with 20 points from 11 games; Inter are 2nd with 28. In their last five league games Frosinone took 10 points (WDWWL) and Inter took 12 (WWWLW). This season Frosinone average 1.77 expected goals (xG) for and 2.01 against per game; Inter average 2.62 for and 0.98 against.

In 2 league meetings since 2023, Frosinone won 0, Inter won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 10 May 2024, finished Frosinone 0–5 Inter, a win for Inter.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
2
4
6
6
5
3
1
2
6
8
8
6
3
2
1
3
5
5
4
2
3
<1
1
2
2
2
<1
4
<1
<1
<1
<1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Frosinone goalsColumns: Inter goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–2 (8%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–28.2%
1–38.0%
0–26.5%
0–36.4%
1–45.9%
1–15.7%
1 or more goals
98%
2 or more goals
92%
3 or more goals
79%
4 or more goals
60%
5 or more goals
41%
Both teams score
68%

GossipBall expects 4.2 goals in total: 1.26 for Frosinone and 2.94 for Inter.

Winning margin

Explained
Frosinone by 3
1%
Frosinone by 2
4%
Frosinone by 1
8%
Draw
15%
Inter by 3
15%
Inter by 2
19%
Inter by 1
19%

Each team's goals

Explained
Frosinone expected goals1.26
Inter expected goals2.94
Frosinone keep a clean sheet5%
Inter keep a clean sheet28%
Frosinone win without conceding4%
Inter win without conceding27%
Frosinone score 2 or more36%
Inter score 2 or more79%

Recent form

Frosinone
L @ Cagliari0–1 · 7 Nov
W v Torino2–0 · 1 Nov
W v Lecce5–1 · 29 Oct
D @ Atalanta4–4 · 25 Oct
W v Sassuolo4–2 · 16 Oct
Inter
W v Como2–0 · 8 Nov
L @ Milan1–3 · 31 Oct
W @ Venezia2–0 · 28 Oct
W v Fiorentina2–1 · 25 Oct
W @ Bologna3–1 · 17 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 2 league meetings since 2023, Frosinone won 0, Inter won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 10 May 2024, finished Frosinone 0–5 Inter, a win for Inter.

Frosinone 0–5 Inter10 May 2024
Inter 2–0 Frosinone12 Nov 2023

Season averages per game

FROINT
2.18
Goals
2.55
1.36
Conceded
1.18
1.77
xG
2.62
2.01
xG against
0.98
20.1
Shots
21.3
6.8
On target
6.9
7.0
Corners
6.1
1.55
Yellow cards
1.36
27%
Clean sheets
36%
46%
Both score
64%
55%
3+ goals
73%

Questions and answers

Who will win Frosinone vs Inter?

GossipBall gives Frosinone a 13% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Inter 72%. GossipBall makes Inter clear favourites to beat Frosinone away from home.

What is the predicted score for Frosinone vs Inter?

GossipBall's predicted score is 1–3, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.3 for Frosinone, 2.9 for Inter). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–2 (8%), 1–3 (8%), 0–2 (6%).

Will both teams score in Frosinone vs Inter?

GossipBall gives a 68% chance that both Frosinone and Inter score.

Will there be three or more goals in Frosinone vs Inter?

There is a 79% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 4.2 goals in total (1.3 for Frosinone, 2.9 for Inter).

When is Frosinone vs Inter?

Kick-off is Saturday 5 December 2026 at 17:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Frosinone and Inter?

In 2 league meetings since 2023, Frosinone won 0, Inter won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 10 May 2024, finished Frosinone 0–5 Inter, a win for Inter.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

Sign in to play Sign in
Prediction gamePlay now
Leagues
About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC