Frosinone vs Parma prediction
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Frosinone favourites to beat Parma at home in Serie A on Saturday 28 November 2026 at 14:00 UTC. It gives Frosinone a 53% chance of winning, puts the draw at 23% and gives Parma 24%.
GossipBall expects 1.8 goals from Frosinone and 1.2 from Parma, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 57% chance of three or more goals and a 58% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Frosinone keep a clean sheet in 32% of outcomes, Parma in 16%.
Frosinone are 6th in the table with 20 points from 11 games; Parma are 16th with 8. In their last five league games Frosinone took 10 points (WDWWL) and Parma took 4 (LLDWL). This season Frosinone average 1.77 expected goals (xG) for and 2.01 against per game; Parma average 0.82 for and 1.95 against.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.0 goals in total: 1.82 for Frosinone and 1.16 for Parma.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Frosinone vs Parma?
GossipBall gives Frosinone a 53% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Parma 24%. GossipBall makes Frosinone favourites to beat Parma at home.
What is the predicted score for Frosinone vs Parma?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.8 for Frosinone, 1.2 for Parma). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%).
Will both teams score in Frosinone vs Parma?
GossipBall gives a 58% chance that both Frosinone and Parma score.
Will there be three or more goals in Frosinone vs Parma?
There is a 57% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.0 goals in total (1.8 for Frosinone, 1.2 for Parma).
When is Frosinone vs Parma?
Kick-off is Saturday 28 November 2026 at 14:00 UTC.