Serie AMatchday 13Saturday 28 November 2026 ·

Frosinone vs Parma prediction

53%
home win
predicted score
2–1
9.8% chance
23%
draw
24%
away win
Win probability: home 53%, draw 23%, away 24%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Frosinone favourites to beat Parma at home in Serie A on Saturday 28 November 2026 at 14:00 UTC. It gives Frosinone a 53% chance of winning, puts the draw at 23% and gives Parma 24%.

GossipBall expects 1.8 goals from Frosinone and 1.2 from Parma, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 57% chance of three or more goals and a 58% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Frosinone keep a clean sheet in 32% of outcomes, Parma in 16%.

Frosinone are 6th in the table with 20 points from 11 games; Parma are 16th with 8. In their last five league games Frosinone took 10 points (WDWWL) and Parma took 4 (LLDWL). This season Frosinone average 1.77 expected goals (xG) for and 2.01 against per game; Parma average 0.82 for and 1.95 against.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
5
6
3
1
<1
1
9
11
6
2
<1
<1
2
8
10
6
2
<1
<1
3
5
6
3
1
<1
4
2
3
2
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Frosinone goalsColumns: Parma goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–110.9%
2–19.8%
1–09.0%
2–08.5%
1–26.2%
3–15.9%
1 or more goals
95%
2 or more goals
80%
3 or more goals
57%
4 or more goals
35%
5 or more goals
18%
Both teams score
58%

GossipBall expects 3.0 goals in total: 1.82 for Frosinone and 1.16 for Parma.

Winning margin

Explained
Frosinone by 3
8%
Frosinone by 2
16%
Frosinone by 1
23%
Draw
23%
Parma by 3
2%
Parma by 2
6%
Parma by 1
14%

Each team's goals

Explained
Frosinone expected goals1.82
Parma expected goals1.16
Frosinone keep a clean sheet32%
Parma keep a clean sheet16%
Frosinone win without conceding26%
Parma win without conceding11%
Frosinone score 2 or more54%
Parma score 2 or more32%

Recent form

Frosinone
L @ Cagliari0–1 · 7 Nov
W v Torino2–0 · 1 Nov
W v Lecce5–1 · 29 Oct
D @ Atalanta4–4 · 25 Oct
W v Sassuolo4–2 · 16 Oct
Parma
L v Bologna1–2 · 7 Nov
W @ Atalanta3–0 · 2 Nov
D v Udinese0–0 · 28 Oct
L @ Lazio1–2 · 24 Oct
L v Torino0–3 · 19 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.

Season averages per game

FROPAR
2.18
Goals
0.82
1.36
Conceded
1.55
1.77
xG
0.82
2.01
xG against
1.95
20.1
Shots
10.0
6.8
On target
3.2
7.0
Corners
3.2
1.55
Yellow cards
1.18
27%
Clean sheets
18%
46%
Both score
46%
55%
3+ goals
64%

Questions and answers

Who will win Frosinone vs Parma?

GossipBall gives Frosinone a 53% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Parma 24%. GossipBall makes Frosinone favourites to beat Parma at home.

What is the predicted score for Frosinone vs Parma?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.8 for Frosinone, 1.2 for Parma). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%).

Will both teams score in Frosinone vs Parma?

GossipBall gives a 58% chance that both Frosinone and Parma score.

Will there be three or more goals in Frosinone vs Parma?

There is a 57% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.0 goals in total (1.8 for Frosinone, 1.2 for Parma).

When is Frosinone vs Parma?

Kick-off is Saturday 28 November 2026 at 14:00 UTC.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC