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Lecce vs Atalanta prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Atalanta favourites to beat Lecce away from home in Serie A on Monday 30 November 2026 at 17:30 UTC. It gives Lecce a 18% chance of winning, puts the draw at 25% and gives Atalanta 58%.
GossipBall expects 0.8 goals from Lecce and 1.7 from Atalanta, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 45% chance of three or more goals and a 46% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 0–2. Lecce keep a clean sheet in 19% of outcomes, Atalanta in 44%.
Lecce are 14th in the table with 10 points from 11 games; Atalanta are 12th with 14. In their last five league games Lecce took 4 points (WLLLD) and Atalanta took 5 (LDDLW). This season Lecce average 1.26 expected goals (xG) for and 1.84 against per game; Atalanta average 1.51 for and 1.83 against.
In 8 league meetings since 2022, Lecce won 2, Atalanta won 5 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 6 Apr 2026, finished Lecce 0–3 Atalanta, a win for Atalanta.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 0–1 (14%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.5 goals in total: 0.82 for Lecce and 1.68 for Atalanta.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 8 league meetings since 2022, Lecce won 2, Atalanta won 5 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 6 Apr 2026, finished Lecce 0–3 Atalanta, a win for Atalanta.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Lecce vs Atalanta?
GossipBall gives Lecce a 18% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Atalanta 58%. GossipBall makes Atalanta favourites to beat Lecce away from home.
What is the predicted score for Lecce vs Atalanta?
GossipBall's predicted score is 0–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (0.8 for Lecce, 1.7 for Atalanta). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 0–1 (14%), 0–2 (12%), 1–1 (12%).
Will both teams score in Lecce vs Atalanta?
GossipBall gives a 46% chance that both Lecce and Atalanta score.
Will there be three or more goals in Lecce vs Atalanta?
There is a 45% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.5 goals in total (0.8 for Lecce, 1.7 for Atalanta).
When is Lecce vs Atalanta?
Kick-off is Monday 30 November 2026 at 17:30 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Lecce and Atalanta?
In 8 league meetings since 2022, Lecce won 2, Atalanta won 5 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 6 Apr 2026, finished Lecce 0–3 Atalanta, a win for Atalanta.